One stat that bodes well for the Thunder following NBA Finals Game 5 win over Pacers

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Behind 71 combined points from the All-Star duo of Jalen Williams and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, the Thunder moved within one win of the 2025 NBA title with a 120-109 win over the Pacers in Game 5 of the NBA Finals.

Now, history is on Oklahoma City's side.

The word "pivotal" is often used to describe Game 5 of any playoff series, and in NBA Finals series that are tied at two games apiece, that adjective is especially apt. In taking a 3-2 series lead, the Thunder lead for the first time in the Finals and the Pacers trail for the first time in the 2025 playoffs, but it's much more than that.

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Here's the biggest stat that can be taken from OKC's Game 5 win.

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History of 3-2 Finals leads after Game 5 win

Before this year, teams hold a 23-8 (.742) series record after winning Game 5 of the NBA Finals when it is tied, 2-2.

The past three teams to win Game 5 of the NBA Finals that were tied at two games apiece have gone on to win the series. The 2015 Warriors, 2021 Bucks, and 2022 Warriors each closed the series out in six games. Of those teams, the 2015 Golden State squad is the only one to close out on the road.

In the past 25 years, only the 2013 Spurs and 2010 Celtics lost after winning Game 5 to take a 3-2 series lead. Both teams lost in Game 7 on the road.

Here's a look at the last nine instances since the turn of the century.

YearGame 5 winnerOpponentSeries winner
2025Thunder*PacersTBD
2022WarriorsCeltics*Warriors (Game 6)
2021BucksSuns*Bucks (Game 6)
2015Warriors*CavaliersWarriors (Game 6)
2013SpursHeat*Heat (Game 7)
2011MavericksHeat*Mavericks (Game 6)
2010CelticsLakers*Lakers (Game 7)
2006HeatMavericks*Heat (Game 6)
2005Spurs*PistonsSpurs (Game 7)
2003Spurs*NetsSpurs (Game 6)

*Team with home-court advantage in series.

Of the nine teams, only the 2005 Spurs won Game 5 and lost Game 6 before closing out the series in Game 7.

NBA Finals Game 7 history

If the Pacers force Game 7, it would be the 20th Game 7 in NBA Finals history. Here is a look back at the previous 19, in which the home team has prevailed 15 times.

Road winners are listed in bold.

YearResultLocation
2016Cavaliers 93, Warriors 89Oracle Arena (Golden State)
2013Heat 95, Spurs 88American Airlines Arena (Miami)
2010Lakers 83, Celtics 79Staples Center (Los Angeles)
2005Spurs 81, Pistons 74SBC Center (San Antonio)
1994Rockets 90, Knicks 84The Summit (Houston)
1988Lakers 108, Pistons 105The Forum (Los Angeles)
1984Celtics 111, Lakers 102Boston Garden (Boston)
1978Bullets 105, SuperSonics 99Seattle Center Coliseum (Seattle)
1974Celtics 102, Bucks 87Milwaukee Arena (Milwaukee)
1970Knicks 113, Lakers 99Madison Square Garden (New York)
1969Celtics 108, Lakers 106The Forum (Los Angeles)
1966Celtics 95, Lakers 93Boston Garden (Boston)
1962Celtics 110, Lakers 107 (OT)Boston Garden (Boston)
1960Celtics 122, Hawks 103Boston Garden (Boston)
1957Celtics 125, Hawks 123 (2OT)Boston Garden (Boston)
1955Nationals 92, Pistons 91Onondaga War Memorial (Syracuse)
1954Lakers 87, Nationals 80Minneapolis Auditorium (Minneapolis)
1952Lakers 82, Knicks 65Minneapolis Auditorium (Minneapolis)
1951Royals 79, Knicks 75Edgerton Park Arena (Rochester)
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