Birmingham City vs Derby County Prediction and Betting Tips | December 26th 2025

Birmingham City will host Derby County at St. Andrew's @ Knighthead Park on Friday in another round of the 2025-26 EFL Championship campaign. The hosts will be desperate to get back to winning ways and move back into playoff contention.

Birmingham were reduced to 10 men in the 18th minute and went on to suffer a 3-0 thrashing at the hands of Chris Wilder’s rejuvenated Sheffield United, marking the Blues’ third defeat in their last four games. Chris Davies’ side endured a difficult start to life back in the Championship but managed to turn things around and were sitting eighth at the beginning of the month.

However, they have since slipped to 14th and could fall further should they fail to return to winning ways on Boxing Day.

Derby County have been among the teams to capitalize on Birmingham’s recent poor form, with the Rams moving two places and two points clear of Friday’s hosts by avoiding defeat in four of their last six games. John Eustace’s side sit four points off the promotion playoff places and were frustrated to settle for a 1-1 home draw against struggling Portsmouth last time out, but will be hoping to claim maximum points this weekend.

Birmingham City vs Derby County Head-to-Head and Key Numbers

• The sides have met on 128 previous occasions going into this weekend's fixture. Birmingham have won 42 of those games, 37 have ended in draws, while Derby County have won the remaining 49.
• The sides are evenly matched across their five most recent meetings, with two wins apiece and one draw.
• The newly promoted hosts have scored seven goals across their last five meetings with Derby, but have also conceded 10 in that period.
• Birmingham have scored 30 goals and conceded 29 in 22 league games this season, while Derby have netted 31 and conceded 30 over the same number of matches.

Birmingham City vs Derby County Prediction

The Blues are favourites to get a result thanks to their impressive home record, having lost just one of their 10 league games at St Andrew’s this season, but they will need to show marked improvement on recent performances to claim all three points.

The Rams also boast a strong away record this campaign and will rely on that to pick up a result this weekend, although it may ultimately prove insufficient.

Prediction: Birmingham City 2-1 Derby County

Birmingham City vs Derby County Betting Tips

Tip 1 - Result: Birmingham City to win

Tip 2 - Goals - Over/under 2.5 - Over 2.5 goals (Seven of the visitors' last nine games have produced more than 2.5 goals )

Tip 3 - Both teams to score: Yes

Edited by Peter P