Toluca vs Tigres Prediction and Betting Tips | December 14th 2025

Toluca will play host to Tigres at Estadio Nemesio Díez in Liga MX on Sunday. The winner of the Apertura 2025 will be decided in this clash.

Toluca vs Tigres Preview

Toluca lost the first leg of the final 1-0 at Estadio Universitario, but they displayed a commendable performance by limiting the deficit to a lone goal. After a goalless draw in the first half, which was relatively balanced, right winger Correa broke the deadlock for Tigres. Toluca fought to avoid further goals until the final whistle.

Diablos Rojos won the Clausura 2025 - Liga MX's second tournament - and will be keen on replicating that success in the Apertura 2025. They last won the Apertura in 2008 but have reached the final twice since then. Toluca lost 4-3 in their last clash with Tigres at Estadio Nemesio Díez, but won the previous 3-0.

Tigres extended their undefeated run to four games after beating Toluca 1-0 in the first leg of the final. They had wanted a comfortable win ahead of their trip to Toluca, but managed a lone goal outcome, marked by several near misses from the visitors. However, head coach Guido Pizarro is upbeat about their chances of winning the tie.

Los Auriazules last won the Apertura in 2017, following back-to-back successes from 2015. The last time they came close was in 2023, when they finished as runners-up. Tigres are not expected to defend their slim lead in the second leg, while Toluca will likely push for goals in the hope of overturning their deficit.

Toluca vs Tigres Head-to-Head and Key Numbers

• Toluca have won twice, drawn once, and lost twice in their last five matches against Tigres.
• Toluca have won four times and lost once in their last five matches at home against Tigres.
• Toluca have won thrice and drawn twice in their last five matches at home.
• Tigres have won twice, drawn twice and lost once in their last five matches on the road.
• Toluca have won twice, drawn once and lost twice in their last five matches, while Tigres have won twice, drawn twice and lost once. Form Guide: Toluca – L-W-L-D-W, Tigres – W-D-D-W-L.

Toluca vs Tigres Prediction

Toluca need just two goals without conceding, in order to clinch their fourth Apertura title. They will miss the services of Robert Morales due to a red card suspension.

Tigres will likely deploy a pattern capable of disrupting the hosts, meant to douse their morale. Jesus Angulo and Fernando Mendez remain sidelined.

Toluca should win based on home advantage.

Prediction: Toluca 3-1 Tigres

Toluca vs Tigres Betting Tips

Tip 1: Result - Toluca to win

Tip 2: Game to have over 2.5 goals – Yes

Tip 3: Toluca to score first – Yes

Tip 4: Tigres to score - Yes

Edited by Peter P