Today’s 5 Best MLB Prop Bets: Strikeouts, Team Total, and Moneyline Picks for Blue Jays vs Dodgers World Series Game 3 - October 27, 2025

3 hours ago 2

close

Tonight’s World Series Game 3 at Dodger Stadium sets up as a prop bettor’s paradise. Glasnow’s brutal whiff profile, roughly a 10.5 K/9 in 2025 and elite Statcast whiff/spin metrics, make his 7+ strikeout ceiling a genuine value spot.

While Max Scherzer’s age and contact-first approach this year have far fewer Ks than his peak, it pushes the edge toward under-K tickets and team-total swings.

Add Vladimir Guerrero Jr.’s red-hot October form and the Dodgers’ deep lineup at home, and we’ve got a board thick with opportunity across strikeout lines, hitter total bases, and moneyline markets. Check final lineups and the late bullpen peeks, then play the edges.

march madness logo

Note: Odds are set by DraftKings Sportsbook and are subject to change. No outcome can be guaranteed when betting on sports.


Today’s 5 Best MLB Prop Bets for Blue Jays vs Dodgers World Series Game 3

#5. Max Scherzer: Strikeouts Under 4.5 (−158)

The season and postseason data strongly support the under here: Scherzer’s 2025 regular season was a low-K year by his standards at 82 K on for the regular season, and his October sample so far shows modest punchout totals, logging five postseason Ks in 5.5 innings.

At age 41, Scherzer has shifted more toward an economy-and-command profile, attacking the zone, inducing weak contact, and trusting his defense, which reduces the likelihood of a 5+ K explosion in a single start.

Unless there’s a specific matchup that historically boosts his whiff rate or the Blue Jays’ lineup is unusually chase-prone in this spot, the under 4.5 strikeouts is a data-backed, situationally sensible fade of the old high-K Scherzer template.


#4. Dodgers Moneyline (−206)

Los Angeles will have home-field advantage in Game 3, elite depth across the rotation and bullpen, and a lineup capable of punishing mistakes, which is why market models and sportsbooks commonly peg their win probability well above 60%.

The Dodgers showed they can answer after Game 1, Yamamoto’s Game 2 gem, and Los Angeles’s lineup balance make a -200ish moneyline an accurate market reflection of their win probability tonight.


#3. Will Smith: Hits + Runs + RBIs 2+ (−117)

Will Smith has been an impact piece for the Dodgers this postseason and delivered a huge Game 2 night with a homer and three RBIs, showing he’s both a high-usage RBI man and capable of multi-category games.

Smith’s 2025 regular-season line and his recent World Series production make a 2+ combined H+R+RBI ticket very plausible: a two-base night, a homer, or a single-and-RBI sequence will all cash this prop, and at −117 you’re backing a middle-order bat who’s already shown he can deliver in high leverage.


#2. Dodgers Team Total: Over 4.5 Runs (−120)

Los Angeles has the lineup depth to clear five runs in a game when they get chances, The Dodgers put up a multi-run win in Game 2, and their season numbers show sustained offensive power.

Against a veteran like Scherzer, an early mistake or a bullpen window can quickly flip a low-scoring script; given LA’s complete lineup firepower and the probability of productive late-inning matchups, expecting five or more Dodgers runs is reasonable, and the over 4.5 is a solid team-total target at the listed price.


#1. Tyler Glasnow: Strikeouts Over 6.5 (+127)

Backing Glasnow to record 7+ strikeouts at plus-money is a classic value swing when the market underprices his true whiff ceiling.

In 2025, Glasnow posted 106 Ks (about a 10.5 K/9), and his Statcast profile shows elite whiff and spin metrics that consistently generate swings-and-misses, while his postseason resume this year includes strong K-per-inning production.

The path to 7+ Ks is straightforward: Glasnow attacks the zone early with high-spin breaking stuff and forces long counts, piling up punchouts multiple times through the order, and at +127, it's getting paid to back a pitcher who, by numbers and history, clears this threshold more often than the market implies.

Why did you not like this content?

  • Clickbait / Misleading
  • Factually Incorrect
  • Hateful or Abusive
  • Baseless Opinion
  • Too Many Ads
  • Other

Was this article helpful?

Thank You for feedback

About the author

Shubham Soni

Shubham Soni is a dedicated baseball journalist at Sportkeeda with a deep passion for Major League Baseball. Specializing in player profiles, in-depth analysis, and trade updates, He provides readers with expert insights and strategic advice to enhance their fantasy sports experience. With a keen focus on player performances, game previews, and betting trends.

Know More

Edited by Shubham Soni

Read Entire Article