Rayo Vallecano vs Real Madrid Prediction and Betting Tips | November 9th 2025

Rayo Vallencano will invite league leaders Real Madrid to Estadio de Vallecas in La Liga on Sunday. Vallecano have four wins from 11 games and are 10th in the standings with 14 points. Madrid have a comfortable five-point lead over Barcelona at the top of the standings.

The hosts met Villarreal in their previous league outing and suffered a 4-0 loss. They bounced back with a 3-2 home triumph over Lech Poznan in the UEFA Conference League on Thursday. They conceded twice in the first half, and goals from Isi Palazón, Jorge de Frutos, and Álvaro García Rivera helped them complete their comeback.

The visitors recorded a comfortable 4-0 win over Valencia in their previous league outing, with Kylian Mbappé scoring a first-half brace. Their winning streak ended after four games in the UEFA Champions League, as they lost 1-0 to Liverpool on Tuesday.

Rayo Vallecano vs Real Madrid Head-to-Head and Key Numbers

• The two teams have squared off 46 times across all competitions. As expected, Madrid have been the dominant side in these meetings, recording 33 wins. Vallecano have seven wins, and six games have ended in draws.
• Four of the last six meetings between them have produced over 2.5 goals.
• Rayo Vallecano have won just one of their four home games in La Liga this season. They have scored and conceded one goal apiece in three games.
• Real Madrid have conceded 10 goals in La Liga this season, with seven of them conceded on their travels.
• Vallecano are unbeaten in their last three home games in this fixture, scoring three goals apiece in two.
• The league leaders' two defeats in the league this season have been registered on their travels.

Rayo Vallecano vs Real Madrid Prediction

Los Franjirrojos have been in good touch recently, losing just one of their last eight games across all competitions. They are winless in their last five games in all competitions, playing out three draws. Notably, their last four wins in this fixture have been registered at home.

Abdul Mumin is a long-term absentee, while Diego Méndez and Luiz Felipe will also sit this one out.

Los Blancos failed to score for the first time this season in their loss to Liverpool earlier this week and will look to bounce back from that defeat. They scored five goals in their two league meetings against the hosts last season and will look to build on that form.

Dani Carvajal, David Alaba, and Antonio Rudiger are long-term absentees, while Aurelien Tchouameni and Franco Mastantuono are also not an option for Xabi Alonso.

Madrid have a good recent record in this fixture, and considering their goalscoring record this season, we back the league leaders to eke out a narrow win.

Prediction: Rayo Vallecano 1-2 Real Madrid

Rayo Vallecano vs Real Madrid Betting Tips

Tip 1: Result - Real Madrid to win

Tip 2: Goals - Over/Under 2.5 Goals - Over 2.5 goals

Tip 3: Both teams to score - Yes

Tip 4: At least one goal to be scored in the second half - Yes

Edited by Peter P