Oil rises as market weighs Venezuela supply risks

Synopsis

Global oil prices saw a slight uptick Friday, influenced by U.S. sanctions targeting Venezuelan oil and airstrikes in Nigeria. Despite these geopolitical tensions, oil is still on track for its steepest annual drop since 2020, with supply expected to exceed demand next year. Further disruptions loom as Kazakh oil shipments face a significant reduction due to a drone attack.

Oil prices climbed on Friday after the U.S. ordered ‍increased economic pressure on Venezuelan oil shipments and carried out airstrikes against ⁠Islamic State militants in northwest Nigeria at the request of Nigeria's government.

Brent crude futures rose 24 cents, or 0.4%, to $62.48 per barrel by 0114 ‌GMT. U.S. ‌West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude was up 23 cents, also 0.4%, at $58.58.

Both Venezuela and Nigeria ‌are major oil producers. While Nigeria's oilfields are mainly located in the south of the country, the airstrikes added to geopolitical risks.

The White House has ordered U.S. military forces to focus on a "quarantine" of Venezuelan oil for at least the next two months, indicating Washington is currently more interested ‌in using ‍economic rather than military means to pressure Caracas.

Oil ‍prices, though, are on course for their steepest ‌annual decline since 2020 as investors weighed U.S. economic growth and assessed the risk of supply disruptions including in Venezuela.

Brent and WTI prices are on track to drop about 16% and 18%, respectively, this year, their steepest declines since the COVID pandemic hit oil demand, as supply is ‍expected to outpace demand next year.

Oil shipments from Kazakhstan via the Caspian Pipeline are set to drop ‍by a ⁠third in December ⁠to the lowest since October 2024 after a Ukrainian drone attack damaged facilities at the main CPC export terminal, two market sources said on Wednesday.

The U.S. Energy Information Administration is due to release official inventory data on Monday, later than usual due to the Christmas holiday. The data should give a picture of demand in the world's biggest oil consumer.

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