It was another clean sweep for us Saturday in the MLB player props market. That takes our weekly MLB picks record to 10-4, and ensures another winning week against the books.
There’s still one slate remaining, featuring a bevy of player prop options to choose from. Our favorite selection comes from the Mariners-Angles contest, where Seattle hurler George Kirby is one of the day’s most enticing pitchers to bet against. You can make these picks with MLB betting promos on DraftKings Sportsbook.
MLB Player Prop Pick #1: Jo Adell Over 1.5 Hits, Runs and RBI (+100 at DraftKings)
We’re targeting Kirby with LA outfielder Jo Adell, who clubbed two home runs in last night’s contest. Adell has been on fire over the last two weeks, so this is not a prisoner of the moment situation. The 26-year-old is slashing .341/.426/.756 over the past 15 days, with 14 hits, five home runs, nine RBIs and eight runs scored.
Adell is making hard contact on 46% of his at-bats this season, while his .235 ISO is a career best mark. He’s also on pace for career-highs in home runs and RBI, while he’s significantly reduced his strikeout rate from a year ago. Adell also has a great track record versus Kirby, going 3-for-7 lifetime. He’s cleared over 1.5 hits in seven of the past 10 games he’s started, and is a good bet to do so again this afternoon.
As for Kirby, he enters play with a sky-high 8.56 ERA. He’s coughed up 21 hits, 13 runs and three dingers in only three starts this season, yielding hard contact at a 47% clip. Also working against him is a lack of strikeouts. His once elite K rate has plummeted, declining by 8% from last year.
MLB Player Prop Pick #2: Clayton Kershaw Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-115 at DraftKings)
There’s a danger in going back to the well too many times, but Clayton Kershaw has shown zero indication through four starts that he can return to a big-time strikeout producer. Kershaw has recorded three or fewer K’s in each of his outings so far in 2025, recording more walks (9) than strikeouts (8) over 15.2 innings of work.
Kershaw’s K-rate sits at a career-low 4.6 (per nine innings), and he’s yet to make it past the 5th inning in any start. In fact, he’s gone only 5 full innings once this season, and today’s matchup with the Cardinals doesn’t profile as one that is going to turn his season around.
For starters, St. Louis strikes out at one of the league’s lowest rates. They’re a top-10 lineup in runs per game, average, hits and OPS, and have fared well against Kershaw in the past.
Current Cardinals hitters are slashing .271/.319/.473 versus the southpaw, with seven home runs over 129 at-bats. As a result, you could also consider under 14.5 outs for Kershaw at +145 odds. We’ll stick to the strikeout market though, betting under 3.5 K’s.
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