Iga Swiatek vs Madison Keys preview, head-to-head, prediction, odds, and betting tips | WTA Finals 2025

Match Details

Fixture: (2) Iga Swiatek vs (7) Madison Keys

Date: November 1, 2025

Tournament: WTA Finals

Round: Group Stage

Venue: King Saud University Indoor Arena, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia

Category: Year-end championships

Surface: Hard (Indoor)

Prize Money: $15,500,000

Live Telecast: USA - Tennis Channel | UK - Sky Sports | Canada - TSN

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Iga Swiatek vs Madison Keys preview

Iga Swiatek at the WTA Finals 2025. (Photo: Getty)

Second seed Iga Swiatek will lock horns with seventh seed Madison Keys in the first match of the group stage at the WTA Finals 2025.

Swiatek led Poland to another runner-up finish at the United Cup to begin the season. She then lost to Keys in the semifinals of the Australian Open despite holding a match point. She left the Middle East swing without a title for the first time since 2021.

Swiatek's title drought continued at Indian Wells and Miami, falling to Mirra Andreeva and Alexandra Eala in the semifinals and quarterfinals respectively. She was the defending champion in Madrid, Rome and at the French Open, and failed to retain any of those titles. This marked her first clay swing without a title since 2019.

The Pole was quick to redeem herself. While she lost to Jessica Pegula in the Bad Homburg Open final, she claimed her sixth Major title at Wimbledon. She then won the Cincinnati Open and lost in the US Open quarterfinals. While her Asian swing started with a title in Seoul, she didn't advance beyond the quarterfinals of the WTA 1000 tournaments in Beijing and Wuhan.

Keys bagged the title in Adelaide to begin the year, and captured her maiden Major title at the Australian Open after that. Her winning ways came to an end with a semifinal loss at the Indian Wells Open. She wrapped up her clay swing with a quarterfinal exit from the French Open.

Keys' time on grass concluded with a third-round exit from Wimbledon. Despite performing quite well in the lead-up to the US Open, she was knocked out by Renata Zarazua in the first round of the New York Major. She hasn't competed since then due to an injury.

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Iga Swiatek vs Madison Keys head-to-head

Swiatek leads their rivalry 5-2. She won their previous meeting at the Madrid Open 2025 in three sets.

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Iga Swiatek vs Madison Keys odds

(Odds will be added once they're available)

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Iga Swiatek vs Madison Keys prediction

Madison Keys at the WTA Finals 2025. (Photo: Getty)

Swiatek has a 61-15 record this year. She has tallied at least 60 wins for the fourth consecutive season. She has also qualified for the WTA Finals for the fifth year in a row. She won the year-end championships in 2023, and bowed out in the group stage a year ago.

Keys has a 37-13 record this year. She has been missing in action since her US Open exit due to an injury. This will be her first appearance at the WTA Finals since her debut in 2016.

While Swiatek has the upper hand in this rivalry, Keys has a 2-1 advantage on hardcourts. They've split their two meetings this year, both of which went to three sets. However, Keys has lost her last four matches against top 10 players. This will also be her first match in nearly three months. Swiatek, on the other hand, has enough matches under her belt. As such, she will be the favorite to win this contest.

Pick: Iga Swiatek to win in straight sets.

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Iga Swiatek vs Madison Keys betting tips

Tip 1: Iga Swiatek to win.

Tip 2: The match will have at least 18 games.

Edited by Rohit