Fantasy football busts 2026: 'Do Not Draft' list of worst value picks, players to avoid

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Let's get this out of the way: In reality, there's no viable fantasy football player who should be deemed "undraftable." So when talking about "Do Not Draft' while looking at the redraft half-point PPR overall rankings in 2026, this list refers to players overrated across positions.

There are plenty of bad value picks based on consensus rankings and average draft position (ADP). They still can be taken, but you should avoid them at their current cost for being too expensive and not likely to give you a worthy return on investment.

These players might be stuck somewhere between more attractive studs and more appealing sleepers. They might not be in good environments to maximize production, period. Here's a buyer-beware guide on busts based on consensus rankings and ADP according to Fantasy Pros.

MORE: Top 300 overall cheat sheet for PPR scoring

Fantasy Football 'Do Not Draft' list

Worst quarterback value picks

Lamar Jackson, Ravens (QB2, ADP: 33 | Ranking: 35)

Josh Allen has been a sure bet as the best quarterback to draft much earlier than the rest. Jackson, not much, with some volatility based on durability, and now is adjusting ot a new offense under Declan Doyle. You will need to pay a high third-round draft price for Jackson

Jackson is too expensive to go so close after Allen given how many values are at the position in one-QB leagues. Drake Maye and Joe Burrow in the fourth and fifth rounds are better values. Jalen Hurts and Caleb Williams also can be had as late as the sixth round.

Jayden Daniels, Commanders (QB5, ADP: 61 | Ranking: 63)

The vibes around Daniels, the apt QB5 given the controversy over his favorite number, don't feel great, almost the opposite of his rookie season following an injury-marred Year 2. Let's not jump to thinking he is "RGIII Part II" yet, but drafting him between the Maye-Burrow and Hurts-Williams tiers is a little too rich. Losing Kliff Kingsbury's running QB-friendly offense can't be ignored, either under David Blough.

Justin Herbert, Chargers (QB8, ADP: 69 | Ranking: 88)

Let's pump the brakes on the Herbert hype a little. The Chargers will still have a strong running identity with Mike McDaniel now calling the offensive plays with John Harbaugh. There are ample weapons, but the concern is getting the necessary passing volume (more than 600 attempts) to put up his first 30-TD season since 2021. His rushing production also topped out last season, setting up a regression to his mean. Herbert needs to focus more on being a better reality QB who can win in the playoffs with his support.

Patrick Mahomes (QB12, ADP: 107 | Ranking: 97)

Mahomes, coming off his torn ACL, is coming back to start in Week 1 to no one's surprise. But his passing numbers still may be a little curbed with Eric Bieniemy back to push Andy Reid into a little more needed balance, now with Kenneth Walker III leading the rushing attack. Mahomes shouldn't be running as much himself and will be looking to more execute big plays off the run vs. forcing with volume. He's still priced high as a borderline QB1 given the variables.

Bo Nix, Broncos (QB14, ADP: 117 | Ranking: 100)

Nix's cost has been adjusted downward because of how much improbable fourth-quarter production he had in 2025 with the Broncos pulling a lot of winning comebacks. He did get an extra weapon in Jaylen Waddle and has former QB Davis Webb calling plays, but Denver and Sean Payton overall want to get the job done more with the running game complementing the defense.

MORE: Fantasy football's 25 best draft sleepers for 2026

De'Von Achane

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Worst running back value picks

De'Von Achane, Dolphins (RB8, ADP: 14 | Ranking: 18)

Achane will miss McDaniel, who made him the rushing and receiving centerpiece of the offense and an immobile Tua Tagovailoa who relied heavily on him in the short passing game. Malik Willis can now take off running instead, and Miami is bound to jump from a 55 percent passing team to around 60 percent under Bobby Slowik. Achane cashed in well with his extension, but buyers should beware of him dropping off on a shaky offense.

Jeremiyah Love, Cardinals (RB13, ADP: 26 | Ranking: 38)

Love, as the No. 3 overall pick in the NFL draft, is getting some major rookie hype as one would expect. But the public isn't adjusting to the fact that he has battled injuries in the preseason, and the high ankle sprain is a bit concerning ahead of Week 1, when Tyler Allgeier will start as the lead back. The backfield also remains crowded with James Conner and Trey Benson still in the mix and new offensive-minded coach Mike LaFleur wary of overloading Love.

Josh Jacobs, Packers (RB15, ADP: 29 | Ranking: 39)

Jacobs is only 28 years old, but he has plenty of mileage going back to his Raiders days. There are signs of attrition going into his third season in Green Bay, and he has battled a groin injury in the preseason. It comes at a time when MarShawn Lloyd is healthy and showing fresh, explosive legs behind him. Javonte Williams and Kyren Williams are more reliable picks just ahead of him.

Cam Skattebo, Giants (RB18, ADP: 35 | Ranking: 50)

Skattebo's durability concern hasn't gone away as there's still some reckless abandon in him going into Year 2. He is a fun, versatile talent who can provide good red zone and receiving production, but staying on the field will remain a challenge. It's not like Tyrone Tracy is burning it up for the new offense, but the team did need to add Najee Harris as further insurance. Skatt feels like a trap.

Quinshon Judkins, Browns (RB21, ADP: 44 | Ranking: 54)

Judkins is coming off a worrisome fibula injury that cut short his rookie season. While he works to get back to a good power running level in Year 2, Dylan Sampson looks ready to contribute in multiple aspects for an offense that needs dynamic playmakers such as Sampson and rookie wide receiver KC Conception. The Todd Monken offense can shift to making this more even with Sampson.

Bucky Irving, Buccaneers (RB22, ADP: 48 | Ranking: 55)

The Bucs did not re-sign Rachaad White but were quick to add former Steeler and Eagle Kenneth Gainwell behind Irving. Irving misses the Liam Coen offense of 2024, with now Zac Robinson replacing Josh Grizzard. Gainwell has similar versatile qualities to Irving and can vie for more key playing time after a great camp and getting raves from Baker Mayfield.

Jaylen Warren, Steelers (RB27, ADP: 68 | Ranking: 72)

The Steelers should have considered bringing back Gainwell. Instead, they went for Rico Dowdle, reuniting him with former Cowboys coach Mike McCarthy. Dowdle had 1,328 scrimmage yards for Dallas in 2024, followed by 1,373 for Carolina in 2026. That durable production cannot be ignored, and Dowdle can vie for a bigger role, hurting Warren's stock.

MORE: Fantasy football's WR rankings for 2026 NFL season

Worst wide receiver value picks

Rashee Rice, Chiefs (WR13, ADP: 32 | Ranking: 28 )

Mahomes is hoping the receiving corps will be a little more impactful with its depth, but with Rice's ups and downs and Xavier Worthy's disappointment, it's given rise to others such as rookie Cyrus Allen getting buzz in the preseason. Counting on a healthy Rice for borderline WR1 production is an unreasonable expectation.

Tetairoa McMillan, Panthers (WR18, ADP: 40 | Ranking: 33)

McMillan had a fine rookie season, but this year, Jalen Coker, Xavier Legette and the tight end committee can cut well into his work after 122 targets last season. It's notable he caught only 70 balls and was reliant on a lot of field-stretching and 7 TDs. He's going too high as a WR2.

Garrett Wilson, Jets (WR20, ADP: 45 | Ranking: 42 )

The Jets' offseason has been a disaster for their offensive skill players. Rookie wideout Omar Cooper Jr. has struggled in camp, and rookie tight end Kenyon Sadiq is just getting healthy. Geno Smith has dealt with something off the field and is getting pushed by rookie Cade Klubnik on the field. Breece Hall is hurting again. Wilson may once again get gobbled up by a bad situation around him.

Brian Thomas Jr., Jaguars (WR31, ADP: 72 | Ranking: 74 )

Parker Washington, Jakobi Meyers and Brenton Strange are all in the mix as more reliable targets for Trevor Lawrence in Year 2 of Coen's offense. Thomas fell hard in the pecking order and will try to restore some value as a big-play option.

Marvin Harrison Jr., Cardinals (WR32, ADP: 76 | Ranking: 71)

This is much like the Thomas situation. Harrison is being looked at more as a pure deep and red zone threat behind Trey McBride and Michael Wilson. The Cardinals also will be committing to run more with Love and their backfield depth after being a 66-34 passing team last season.

DK Metcalf, Steelers (WR34, ADP: 83 | Ranking: 80)

Metcalf was OK with Aaron Rodgers last season but not reliable enough in stretching the field and scoring in the red zone. Enter Michael Pittman Jr. and rookie Germie Bernard to cut into the wide receiver work. Pittman is the better pick in the same range.

Courtland Sutton, Broncos (WR36, ADP: 88 | Ranking: 84)

The Broncos have zero vacated targets and added Jaylen Waddle. Sutton has been dropped well knowing this as he operates for a third season with Nix. He still doesn't feel appealing in a passing game lacking true overall punch.

Quentin Johnston, Chargers (WR39, ADP: 104 | Ranking: 89)

Johnston was a valuable big-play threat to live up to some more of his first-round NFL draft status, but his production has been tied to scoring eight TDs in each of the past two seasons. He can't be picked this high as a WR4 with Tre Harris and Oronde Gadsen II set up to help Ladd McConkey more for Herbert in McDaniel's offense.

Worst tight value picks

Harold Fannin Jr., Browns (TE6, ADP: 67 | Ranking: 78)

The Browns have added two wide receivers in rookies Concepcion and Denzel Boston. There also can be a massive QB shift for Fannin's sake should Shedeur Sanders, who trusted him a lot as a rookie target, sit behind checkdown-averse Deshaun Watson. Fannin was a big necessity in the passing game in 2025 and should see a natural drop in his looks.

Kyle Pitts, Falcons (TE8, ADP: 74 | Ranking: 82)

Pitts always has been difficult to trust, even with his TDs increasing by one with every season to six in Year 6, which was a career-type year of 88 catches on 118 receptions for 928 yards. The QB situation is a mess, and the usage of the wide receiver corps will be different under Kevin Stefanski and Tommy Rees. Although Pitts can maintain a key No. 2 role behind Drake London, this whole offense has a wave of downgrade while in transition.

Travis Kelce, Chiefs (TE10, ADP: 96 | Ranking: 104)

With Mahomes and Rice also making this list, it says the Chiefs' passing potential is being overhyped. The team is positioned to spread the ball around and be more balanced with the running game. Mahomes is better equipped at WR, meaning Kelce, who turns 37 in October, won't be reaching any more "new heights."

Dalton Kincaid, Bills (TE11, ADP: 100 | Ranking: 114)

DJ Moore gives Allen his best No. 1 since Stefon Diggs. Khalil Shakir isn't going away and Keon Coleman has earned more looks. Dawson Knox remains as a solid second tight end. With Mark Andrews and Isiah Likely being more appealing right after Kincaid's ADP and ranking, both are better values.

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