US Natural Gas Rallies With Oil on Lingering Mideast Fears

5 hours ago 2

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(Bloomberg) — US natural gas futures rose along with oil, which continues to climb on concerns over a prolonged disruption to energy supplies through the Strait of Hormuz.

Financial Post

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Those worries, which do not fundamentally affect the short-term US gas market, outweighed a small decrease in expected heating demand over the next two weeks. Oil futures have exerted a strong influence on US gas futures since the war broke out in Iran last month.

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The gains in US gas futures represent “a continued sympathy rally with crude,” especially after a large gas field in the United Arab Emirates was struck by a drone, Dennis Kissler, senior vice president for trading at BOK Financial Securities Inc., said in a Tuesday note to clients.

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  • Futures for April delivery +6.3c, or +2.1%, to $3.086/mmbtu on Nymex, as of 9:37am ET

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Weather:

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  • Forecasts shifted slightly warmer, with above-average temperatures expected across the western half of the US through March 26: Commodity Weather Group
  • See WHUT for a map of latest 6-10 day weather forecast: NOAA
  • Click here for two-week temperature forecasts for the U.S.

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Daily BNEF Gas Data:

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  • Lower-48 dry gas production on Tuesday ~112.1 bcf/day, or +4.2% y/y
  • Lower-48 total gas demand on Tuesday ~103.7 bcf/day, or +30.7% y/y
  • Dry gas exports to Mexico on Tuesday ~6.4 bcf/day, or -11% w/w
  • Estimated gas flows to LNG export terminals on Tuesday ~20.0 bcf/day, or +1.7% w/w

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Gas Market News:

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  • European Gas Rises as Iran Intensifies Infrastructure Attacks
  • LNG WRAP: Asia Prices Hold Near $20 as Mideast Attacks Continue
  • US LNG Supply Rises From Last Year While Qatar Drops: BNEF Chart
  • Colombia in Talks with US for License to Import Venezuelan Gas

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