Tua Tagovailoa record in cold weather: How Dolphins QB has historically struggled in freezing temperatures

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Tua Tagovailoa has found plenty of success in the NFL, from his 2023 Pro Bowl selection, to leading the league in passing yards in 2023 and completion percentage in 2024. Consistently headlining some dynamic Miami Dolphins offenses, the former Alabama star has become one of the highest-paid players at this position.

Despite Tagovailoa's successes, he's certainly had some faults -- some that are out of his power, like injury issues. There's another narrative has followed the Dolphins star in his career as well: his struggles in cold weather.

Including his lone playoff appearance in Kansas City, Tagovailoa hasn't exactly played his best football when the temperatures drop.

Here's a breakdown of Tagovailoa's history of struggles in cold games.

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Tua Tagovailoa record in cold weather 

  • 40 degrees or colder: 0-5
  • 45 degrees or colder: 1-6
  • 50 degrees or colder: 2-8

Tagovailoa, who was born and raised in Hawai'i, then attended Alabama before being drafted by the Dolphins, hasn't had to worry about cold football weather too often. Most of the time, his games have come in the southern half of the U.S., offering enough sunshine to not worry about snow or seeing one's breath.

However, when Tagovailoa has been the quarterback in colder games since he joined the NFL, the Dolphins haven't been very good. That doesn't fall all on Tagovailoa, as running the football is typically a key in colder weather, but he certainly hasn't helped too much.

Tagovailoa has gone 0-5 in games at 40 degrees or colder, 1-6 in games at 45 degrees or colder, and 2-8 in games at 50 degrees or colder, per the Palm Beach Post. His lone win under 45 degrees came in December 2025, when the Dolphins beat the New York Jets 34-10 with temperatures around 41 degrees at kickoff.

Tagovailoa's five losses in sub-40 degree weather have been at Buffalo, at Tennessee, at Buffalo, at Kansas City and at Green Bay.

The quarterback has dismissed the cold weather narrative, however.

"It's football, bro," Tagovailoa said, per the South Florida Sun Sentinel. "It is what it is. We got to play them in Pittsburgh, whether it's negative-20, whether it's 20 degrees. We got to play football."

It's not just Tagovailoa -- heading into a sub-20 degree matchup against the Pittsburgh Steelers in December 2025, as a team, the Dolphins had lost 13 consecutive games with kickoff temperatures below 40 degrees, per ESPN.

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Tua Tagovailoa stats in cold weather

Here's a game-by-game, and total, breakdown of Tagovailoa's five career games in temperatures below 40 degrees.

DateLocationKickoff TemperatureFinal ScoreCompletions/AttemptsPassing YardsPassing TDsINTsRating
Jan. 3, 2021at Buffalo35 degreesBills 56, Dolphins 2635-583611362.5
Jan. 2, 2022at Tennessee31 degreesTitans 34, Dolphins 318-352050153.1
Dec. 17, 2022at Buffalo29 degreesBills 32, Dolphins 2917-3023420104.0
Jan. 13, 2024at Kansas City-4 degreesChiefs 26, Dolphins 720-391991163.9
Nov. 28, 2024at Green Bay27 degreesPackers 30, Dolphins 1737-4636520114.2
TOTALS:--0-5127-208 (61.1%)1,3646579.5

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