Tondela vs Arouca Prediction and Betting Tips | 3rd January 2026

In a clash of two relegation-battling sides in the Portuguese Primeira Liga, Tondela host Arouca on Saturday, aiming for just their third win of the top-flight campaign. Having gained promotion from the second division last summer, the home side have struggled to adjust to the rigors of the top tier of Portuguese football.

In 15 games, they have managed to accumulate only nine points and won just twice, the last of which was a narrow 1-0 win over Gil Vicente on 30 November.

Pedro Santos struck the only goal of the game from the penalty spot in the 35th minute, which proved enough to secure all three points for Tondela. But since then, the side have lost thrice in a row.

The slump in form has seen them relegated to 17th place on the Liga Portugal table with nine points. Only AVS (four points) have fared worse statistically than Tondela in the season thus far.

Arouca are just above Tondela on the table with five more points in the bag and are unbeaten in three league games thus far. They beat Alverca 1-0 on 15 December, followed by a pair of draws to Santa Clara and Gil Vicente.

Tondela vs Arouca Head-To-Head and Key Numbers

• There have been 11 clashes between the sides in history, with Arouca winning on half the occasions (6) and losing to Tondela just twice.
• Having drawn their last game, this fixture could see consecutive stalemates for the first time in history.
• Tondela haven't beaten Arouca at home in their last four home games in all competitions. Their last home win in the fixture came back in May 2013.
• Tondela and Arouca clash for the first time since March 2022.
• The Gold and Greens have lost their last three games in Liga Portugal. Arouca are unbeaten in their last three league matches.

Tondela vs Arouca Prediction

With Tondela on a downward spiral right now, Arouca will feel confident of their chances here. They have managed to anchor their sinking ship lately, and that may continue against Tondela, who could see the gap between them and their visitors widen by three points more after this weekend.

Prediction: Tondela 1-2 Arouca

Tondela vs Arouca Betting Tips

Tip 1 - Result: Arouca to win

Tip 2 - Goals over/under 2.5: Over 2.5 goals

Tip 3 - Both teams to score: Yes

Edited by Peter P