Taylor Fritz vs Lorenzo Musetti preview, head-to-head, prediction, odds, and betting tips | ATP Finals 2025

Match Details

Fixture: (6) Taylor Fritz vs (9) Lorenzo Musetti

Date: November 10, 2025

Tournament: ATP Finals

Round: Group Stage

Venue: Inalpi Arena, Turin, Italy

Category: Year-end championships

Surface: Hard (Indoor)

Prize Money: $15,500,000

Live Telecast: USA - Tennis Channel | UK - Sky Sports | Canada - TSN

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Taylor Fritz vs Lorenzo Musetti preview

Taylor Fritz at the Paris Masters 2025. (Photo: Getty)

Sixth seed Taylor Fritz will take on ninth seed Lorenzo Musetti in the group stage of the ATP Finals 2025.

Fritz won the United Cup to start the season, though his next few results were average at best. He finished the early hardcourt swing on a high with a semifinal showing at the Miami Open. The clay swing was a bust for him, going 3-4 on the surface and crashing out in the first round of the French Open.

Fritz made up for his lack of success on clay with an impressive grass swing, winning two titles and reaching the Wimbledon semifinals. A semifinal at the Canadian Open and a quarterfinal at the US Open were his best results during the North American swing. Since his runner-up finish at the Japan Open, he hasn't won back-to-back matches, and most recently lost in the third round of the Paris Masters.

A fourth-round appearance in Miami was Musetti's best result during the early hardcourt swing. He experienced numerous highs on clay, reaching his first Masters 1000 final at the Monte-Carlo Masters and his maiden Major semifinal at the French Open.

However, Musetti sustained an injury in Paris, forcing him to retire. It also contributed to his first-round exit from Wimbledon. He started off slow after his return to hardcourts, though he ultimately found his footing with a quarterfinal at the US Open.

Musetti came quite close to winning his first title of the season in Chengdu but blew a championship point in the final. He fought until the very last minute to qualify for the ATP Finals. He needed to win the Hellenic Championship to qualify but lost to Novak Djokovic in the final. However, the Serb's withdrawal opened up a spot at the ATP Finals, which went to him as the first alternate.

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Taylor Fritz vs Lorenzo Musetti head-to-head

Musetti leads their rivalry 3-2. He won their previous meeting at the Paris Olympics 2024 in straight sets.

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Taylor Fritz vs Lorenzo Musetti odds

(Odds will be added once they're available)

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Taylor Fritz vs Lorenzo Musetti prediction

Lorenzo Musetti at the Hellenic Championship 2025. (Photo: Getty)

Fritz has qualified for the ATP Finals for the third time in his career. He made the semifinals on his debut in 2022, and was the runner-up last year. He has a 52-21 record this year, though his recent results leave a lot to be desired.

Musetti's initial double heartbreak of losing to Djokovic in the final and missing out on his ATP Finals debut by a whisker was halved by the latter's withdrawal. He will arrive in Turin in good form, albeit tired after fighting until the last minute to get here. He has a 44-20 record for the season. While he hasn't won any titles this year, he did reach three finals, losing all of them in three sets as well.

Fritz won their first couple of matches, and since then Musetti has claimed their next three meetings. However, only one of their previous five matches was contested on hardcourts, which was won by the American. Musetti also has a 3-14 career record against top 10 players on hardcourts, further cementing Fritz's status as the favorite to win this match.

Pick: Taylor Fritz to win in straight sets.

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Taylor Fritz vs Lorenzo Musetti betting tips

Tip 1: Taylor Fritz to win.

Tip 2: The match will have at least 18 games.

Edited by Rohit