Stocks Drift on Earnings as US-China Hopes Falter: Markets Wrap

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Rob Kaplan, Vice Chairman of Goldman Sachs speaks on the future of the fed, the outlook for rates, and sentiment from CEOs, investors in a wide ranging interview with Bloomberg's Erik Schatzker at the Bloomberg Sell Side Leaders Forum on April 22, 2025 in New York.Rob Kaplan, Vice Chairman of Goldman Sachs speaks on the future of the fed, the outlook for rates, and sentiment from CEOs, investors in a wide ranging interview with Bloomberg's Erik Schatzker at the Bloomberg Sell Side Leaders Forum on April 22, 2025 in New York. Bloomberg

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(Bloomberg) — Wall Street investors weighing the impacts of President Donald Trump’s trade war on Corporate America sent stocks churning as hopes for a quick resolution of the US-China spat ebbed.

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Following a two-day rally, the S&P 500 fluctuated as Beijing maintained a defiant stance over tariffs, dismissing speculation that progress has been made in negotiations. Bonds climbed and the dollar fell.

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“Until we see meaningful resolution on the tariff front, it may well be the case that markets remain in a choppy environment with larger-than-usual swings,” said Fawad Razaqzada at City Index and Forex.com.

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As the earnings season rolled in, analysts are souring on the profit outlook due to the risk of an economic slowdown, with the US benchmark’s earnings revisions breadth — or estimated upgrades versus downgrades — approaching downside extremes.

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One of Wall Street’s biggest bulls is throwing in the towel on expectations for large gains this year, seeing tariffs hitting US companies the hardest.

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Deutsche Bank AG strategists led by Bankim Chadha slashed their year-end S&P 500 target by 12% to 6,150. They also see earnings declining 5% this year, compared with a consensus expecting 8% growth.

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Corporate Highlights:

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  • Alphabet Inc. will to set the tone for tech earnings this season, providing a sense on how the industry is viewing an environment marked by elevated policy risk and growing concerns over a recession.
  • International Business Machines Corp. reported results that showed strong profit while also suggesting that economic uncertainty and US government cost cuts may dent the company’s business.
  • Texas Instruments Inc., the biggest maker of analog semiconductors, gave a better-than-anticipated forecast for the current period after demand for industrial and automotive components improved.
  • SK Hynix Inc. warned of increased volatility in the second half of 2025 despite resilient demand for AI memory chips from big tech providers, reflecting the uncertainty surrounding US tariffs.
  • American Airlines Group Inc. withdrew its full-year earnings outlook, joining a growing number of companies that say unease about the economy is making it difficult to forecast how the year will play out.
  • Southwest Airlines Co. is reining in growth this year as volatility surrounding US trade policy chills consumer spending on air travel.
  • PepsiCo Inc. lowered its full-year profit outlook, as an unpredictable US trade policy and worsening consumer sentiment drive up costs and dent demand for the company’s snacks and soft drinks.
  • Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc. lowered its full-year outlook after quarterly sales declined for the first time in almost five years, suggesting that economic uncertainty is causing diners to pull back on burrito outings.
  • Procter & Gamble Co. cut its annual sales and profit outlook, citing tariffs and volatility in consumer demand.
  • Comcast Corp. reported first-quarter losses of pay-TV and broadband customers that exceeded analysts’ estimates, a reflection of the growing competition from streaming companies and wireless providers.
  • Merck & Co. said it expects to lose $200 million to already-announced tariffs in 2025 amid a roiling trade war between the US and China.
  • Bristol Myers Squibb Co. raised its sales and profit forecasts for the year on better-than-expected sales of older drugs and a favorable impact from the weaker dollar.
  • United Parcel Service Inc. agreed to acquire Canada’s Andlauer Healthcare Group Inc. for $1.6 billion, building out the package handler’s growing business transporting goods for health-care customers.

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Some of the main moves in markets:

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Stocks

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  • The S&P 500 was little changed as of 9:31 a.m. New York time
  • The Nasdaq 100 rose 0.4%
  • The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.4%
  • The Stoxx Europe 600 was little changed
  • The MSCI World Index rose 0.1%
  • Bloomberg Magnificent 7 Total Return Index rose 0.2%
  • The Russell 2000 Index was little changed

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Currencies

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  • The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index fell 0.4%
  • The euro rose 0.5% to $1.1377
  • The British pound rose 0.4% to $1.3308
  • The Japanese yen rose 0.8% to 142.37 per dollar

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Cryptocurrencies

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  • Bitcoin fell 0.9% to $92,854.1
  • Ether fell 2.1% to $1,758.98

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Bonds

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  • The yield on 10-year Treasuries declined six basis points to 4.32%
  • Germany’s 10-year yield declined five basis points to 2.45%
  • Britain’s 10-year yield declined five basis points to 4.50%

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Commodities

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  • West Texas Intermediate crude rose 1% to $62.88 a barrel
  • Spot gold rose 1.3% to $3,330.32 an ounce

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—With assistance from John Viljoen, Sujata Rao, Robert Brand and Anand Krishnamoorthy.

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