MLB Player Props: Best Bets on Saturday, June 7th

A 2-1 card in the MLB player props market yesterday ran our weekly total to 8-4 with two slates left. It could have easily been a second consecutive sweep, but our Antonio Senzatela wager bit the dust after he left the Mets-Rockies game after only two innings.

Saturday brings another loaded 15-game slate for us to sweat, and we’ll head out West for the Mariners-Angels clash to find our first wager. Sign up on DraftKings and get a $200 bonus for these MLB betting picks.

MLB Player Prop Pick #1: Cal Raleigh Over 2.5 Hits, Runs and RBI (+115 at DraftKings)

That’s where Cal Raleigh is set to continue his assault on enemy pitching. The 28-year-old is on pace to obliterate his career-highs across the board. He enters play leading MLB in home runs with 24, while ranking sixth in RBI (49) and fourth in OPS.

Raleigh has five home runs over the last 8 days, and has cleared over 2.5 hits, runs and RBI five times in his last seven contests. He’s making hard contact at an elite 50% rate, while his .371 ISO is nearly 100 points greater than his previous high mark.

As for the matchup with LA’s Jack Kochanowicz, it’s one Raleigh and his teammates can exploit. Current Mariners batters are slashing .333/.400/.583 off Kochanowicz in 33 at-bats, with Raleigh going 2-for-3 with a home run.

Kochanowicz is fresh off his shortest outing of the season, allowing 5 hits and 4 runs in just 3.2 innings of work against the Guardians. He’s coughed up at least 4 runs in three consecutive starts, surrendering 3 home runs and issuing 10 walks during that stretch.

MLB Player Prop Pick #2: Hunter Brown Under 1.5 Earned Runs (+135 at DraftKings)

The Raleigh wager offers juicy plus-money odds, as does our next wager on Houston’s Hunter Brown. The Astros ace is +135 to allow fewer than 1.5 earned runs, a feat he’s accomplished in back-to-back starts, and eight times in his last 10 outings.

If there’s one pitcher you don’t want to face right now in the AL not named Tarik Skubal, it just might be Brown. He’s currently tied for the league lead in wins (8), and ranks fifth in ERA (1.83), sixth in WHIP (0.91), and 11th in strikeouts.

Even the advanced stats love Brown as his xFIP and SIERA are even lower than last season. He’s yielding hard contact at just a 30% rate, while he’s actually picked up velocity on all five of his pitches. The result is a career-high strikeout rate (30.7%) and more swings and misses than ever before (11.2%).

That’s trouble for the Guardians who enter play ice cold at the dish. Cleveland has crossed the plate just twice in their last two outings, and have been held to two runs or less four times in thelast week. The Guardians are bottom seven in MLB in runs per game and hits, and below league average in home runs, slugging and OPS.

Steven Kwan and Jose Ramirez are as dangerous as ever at the plate, but after that the depth and production Sfalls off a cliff. Expect Brown to continue his AL Cy Young bid with another dazzling performance.