Iran Pledges Decisive Reply to US Strikes; Qatar Closes Airspace

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(Bloomberg) — Iran pledged to respond “proportionately and decisively” to US strikes at the weekend and Qatar suspended traffic over its airspace, amid signs American bases there could be targeted as the conflict between the Islamic Republic and Israel showed signs of boiling over. 

Financial Post

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The Wall Street Journal reported that Iran was moving missile launchers for a possible attack on American forces, citing US officials. Axios reported that missiles had been launched toward US bases in Qatar. The White House didn’t immediately respond to requests for comment. 

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Tehran said it will retaliate for what it called a “grave mistake” by US President Donald Trump in joining Israel’s attacks on Iranian nuclear sites, Abdolrahim Mousavi, chief of staff of Iran’s armed forces, said in a video posted on social media by Iran’s state broadcaster on Monday. He didn’t specify how or when a response would take place. 

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The US and UK governments both told citizens based in Qatar to take extra care. The Gulf Arab state hosts the largest US military base in the area, Al Udeid, and is also the regional headquarters for US Central Command.  

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“Out of an abundance of caution we recommend American citizens shelter in place until further notice,” the US embassy in Doha said in a statement. 

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Israel had earlier ratcheted up attacks on various Iranian targets in the more than weeklong conflict, with the Israel Defense Forces warning residents of Tehran to expect further strikes in the coming days. 

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The Islamic Republic fired several missiles of its own at Israel, suggesting no immediate plans to pare back the hostilities.  

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Iran’s envoy to the International Atomic Energy Agency, Reza Najafi, said the US hits on atomic sites delivered an “irreparable blow” to the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty, the international agreement intended to prevent the spread of atomic weapons.

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Najafi didn’t say whether Iran would look to leave the NPT, something that would probably mean the United Nations’ nuclear watchdog could no longer inspect the country’s facilities, pushing its program further into the shadows. 

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Trump’s decision to deploy bunker-busting bombs and cruise missiles on the country’s three main nuclear sites on Sunday pushed the Middle East into uncharted territory and boosted risks in a global economy already facing severe uncertainty over his trade wars.

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After a nervous start to the trading week, in which Brent crude advanced as much as 5.7%, oil prices fluctuated and US stocks inched higher on bets that Iran’s response to the US strikes won’t significantly disrupt the flow of energy from the Middle East. Global bonds still fell on concern the conflict could fan inflation.

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“An expanding conflict adds to the risk of higher oil prices and an upward impulse to inflation,” said Bloomberg Economics analysts including Ziad Daoud.

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Trump warned energy producers to keep oil prices down, urging the Department of Energy to increase drilling. 

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