Fujimori Sworn In, Giving Peru Shot to Break Cycle of Chaos

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Her Popular Force party narrowly secured enough support on Sunday to lead the upper chamber alongside an allied far-right party. Still, an opposition coalition won control of the lower house, signaling the government will need to build alliances to push its agenda through a polarized, fragmented Congress. That makes the centrist Good Government party a key power broker, as its support would give either the governing bloc or the left-led opposition a working majority.

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Good Government is likely to remain broadly constructive, said Luis Ramos, head of equity research at LarrainVial brokerage, in a note. “We view the outcome as an early validation of the coalition framework underpinning Fujimori’s governability and her ability to advance a growth-friendly legislative agenda,” he added. 

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Despite lingering political noise, the new administration points to a more predictable macroeconomic environment, likely boosting investment confidence and improving the growth outlook, Moody’s credit rating agency said in its latest report.

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Divided Nation

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Fujimori won June’s runoff by a razor-thin margin in her fourth presidential bid, campaigning on law-and-order promises to tighten border control and deport migrants who commit crimes. 

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Like her regional counterparts, she has pledged to cut red tape, speed up permits for delayed mining and infrastructure projects, and preserve fiscal discipline and central bank independence under veteran Governor Julio Velarde. Since her election, investors have reembraced Peruvian assets and all business confidence indicators have surged.

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To lead her economic agenda, Fujimori picked consultant and former central bank director Elmer Cuba, who was sworn in as finance minister in a ceremony at Lima’s presidential palace later on Tuesday, alongside the rest of the cabinet led by Vice President Luis Galarreta. Fujimori appointed former deputy mines minister Guillermo Shinno as the new energy and mines minister, and named Carlos Espá, a former employee of the US Embassy in Peru, as foreign minister.

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Among the new administration’s early challenges will be El Niño, which risks causing catastrophic flooding in the farm sector — Peru’s second-largest source of foreign exchange after mining — and the threat of renewed social unrest in a country still riven over the Fujimori legacy.

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Fujimori, who became Peru’s first lady at just 19, has spent most of her life in politics and has long been one of the country’s dominant political figures. She now returns to the presidential palace where she grew up, 26 years after her father — later convicted of corruption and human rights abuses — fled Peru and resigned by fax from Japan.

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Her political career has been choppy. She successfully faced down a years-long money laundering investigation into the financing of her 2011 and 2016 campaigns, and spent several months in pretrial detention before a top court dismissed the case last year.

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Fujimori has long invoked memories of her father’s administration, highlighting his economic and security credentials, which helped pull Peru back from the brink of economic collapse in the 1990s and crush Maoist guerrillas. But her legitimacy is certain to be challenged by victims of the rights abuses committed under her late father. 

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“Her promise to govern like her father raises the threat of a return to an authoritarian and corrupt regime that used the state apparatus to commit serious human rights abuses,” a group of civil society organizations said in a manifesto. “It is a memory the country cannot and must not forget.”

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—With assistance from Nicolle Yapur.

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(Updates with remarks from Fujimori’s speech starting in fourth paragraph and cabinet picks in 16th paragraph.)

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