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Mississippi Rebels head coach Lane Kiffin stands on the sideline during the first quarter against the Florida Gators at Vaught-Hemingway Stadium on November 15, 2025.
Petre Thomas-Imagn Images
As Florida’s head coaching search drags on, one big name remains a clear favorite for the job.
Ole Miss’ Lane Kiffin remains the most likely candidate as a 53 percent favorite to be the next head coach in Gainesville, according to Kalshi, a New York-based financial exchange and prediction market.
Kiffin, who has led the No. 8 Rebels to a 10-1 start, has been flirting with leaving Oxford with several high-profile openings like Florida and LSU available.
No. 22 Missouri’s Eliah Drinkwitz and Washington’s Jedd Fisch follow Kiffin with a 20 percent chance to land the job.
Georgia Tech’s Brent Key, who has a six percent chance at being the next Gators head coach, per Kalshi, and no other candidates have odds better than five percent.
As of Thursday afternoon, the market, which opened Oct. 21, has drawn nearly $950,000 in bets at Kalshi.
Florida parted ways with head coach Billy Napier, who went 22-23 in four seasons, in October after the Gators struggled during a 3-4 start.
Lane Kiffin of the Mississippi Rebels reacts after his defense makes a fourth down stop in the third quarter of the game against the Citadel Bulldogs at Vaught-Hemingway Stadium on November 8, 2025 in Oxford, Mississippi. Getty ImagesAfter losing to Kiffin’s Ole Miss on Saturday, the Gators fell to 3-7, securing their fourth losing season in five years.
Kiffin is also seen as a favorite for the LSU opening.
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Kalshi has Kiffin with a 40 percent chance at taking that job, making him the leader in that market as well.
He’s far from a guarantee to leave Ole Miss, though.
As of this writing, Kalshi is giving him just a 17 percent chance of leaving the school he’s called home for the past six seasons.
Ole Miss reportedly is willing to match any offer Kiffin receives.
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Dylan Svoboda is a versatile writer and analyst across many sports. He’s particularly knowledgeable about the big three — MLB, the NFL and the NBA.
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