Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinner preview, head-to-head, prediction, odds, and betting tips | ATP Finals 2025 final

Match Details

Fixture: (1) Carlos Alcaraz vs (2) Jannik Sinner

Date: November 16, 2025

Tournament: ATP Finals 2025

Round: Final

Venue: Inalpi Arena, Turin, Italy

Category: Year-end championships

Surface: Hard (Indoor)

Prize Money: $15,500,000

Live Telecast: USA - Tennis Channel | UK - Sky Sports | Canada - TSN

Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinner preview

Alcaraz at the Nitto ATP Finals 2025 - Day 7 - Source: Getty

Carlos Alcaraz and Jannik Sinner will battle it out in the title decider of the Nitto ATP Finals.

Alcaraz was recently honored with the Year-End No. 1 trophy in Turin. The Spaniard has been the man to beat this year, amassing title-winning runs in Rotterdam, Monte-Carlo, Rome, and Paris. He also achieved success in Cincinnati, New York, and Tokyo, where he defeated Taylor Fritz in the final.

Alcaraz entered Turin after a disappointing performance at the Paris Masters. He steadied the ship by cruising past Alex de Minaur, Taylor Fritz, and Lorenzo Musetti in the group-stage rounds before overpowering Felix Auger-Aliassime in the semifinal. The top seed eliminated Auger-Aliassime in straight sets, 6–2, 6–4.

Sinner at the Nitto ATP Finals 2025 - Day 7 - Source: Getty

Meanwhile, Jannik Sinner has had an equally impressive season. After defending his title in Melbourne, he captured his maiden crown at the Wimbledon Championships this year. The Italian also showcased his class by winning the Six Kings Slam, the Vienna Open, and the Paris Masters.

Sinner continued his clinical form in Turin by breezing past Felix Auger-Aliassime, Alexander Zverev, and Ben Shelton in the group stage. He then eliminated Alex de Minaur in the semifinals, 7–5, 6–2. The 24-year-old is unbeaten in his last 14 matches on tour.

Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinner head-to-head

Alcaraz leads the head-to-head against Sinner 10-5. He defeated the Italian most recently in the 2025 US Open.

Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinner odds

All odds are sourced by Oddschecker.

Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinner prediction

Alcaraz has defeated Sinner four out of five times this year. The Spaniard seems to have answers for Sinner's impeccable all-around game and prepares well for their meetings. However, considering the Italian’s form this week, he will have a tough task on his hands in the title clash.

Sinner, on the other hand, has yet to drop a set in Turin. He has been building momentum since winning the Six Kings Slam in Riyadh and now has a chance to end his season on a high note. The 24-year-old will be disappointed to miss out on the Year-End No. 1 trophy this year.

The faster hard courts favor the Italian more than his opponent. Alcaraz’s breathtaking athleticism and shot-making ability will always give him a chance in any final, but the momentum will surely be with Sinner, who is unbeaten in his last 14 matches on tour. The second seed should be able to stop Alcaraz on home soil and win the ATP Finals.

Pick: Sinner to win in three sets.

Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinner betting tips

Tip 1: Match to have more than 25 games.

Tip 2: Sinner to register more than seven aces.

Edited by Aman Mohamed