Atletico Mineiro vs Independiente del Valle Prediction and Betting Tips | October 28th 2025

Atletico Mineiro and Independiente del Valle return to action in the Copa Sudamericana when they go head-to-head in the second leg of the semi-finals on Tuesday. With last week’s first leg ending all square, a place in the final remains very much up for grabs and this makes for an exciting clash at the Arena MRV.

It has been an impressive Copa Sudamericana campaign for Atletico Mineiro, who finished second in Group H before knocking out Bucaramanga, Godoy Cruz and Bolivar en route to the semi-finals.

Jorge Sampaoli’s men showed their mettle in the first leg of the semis on October 22, when they netted a 91st-minute equalizer to salvage a vital 1-1 draw against Independiente del Valle in Ecuador.

Mineiro head into Tuesday’s crunch tie fresh off the back of securing a 1-0 victory over Ceara in the Brasileiro Serie A, where they currently sit 13th in the table.

On the other hand, Independiente del Valle dropped down to the Sudamericana as they crashed out of the Copa Libertadores after finishing third in Group B.

Javier Rabanal’s side secured a dominant 5-1 aggregate victory over Vasco da Gama in the Sudamericana playoff round in July before needing penalties to scrape past Mushuc Runa and Once Caldas en route to the semi-finals.

Independiente head into Tuesday’s return leg unbeaten in seven of their last eight games across all competitions (4W, 3D) and will be looking to reach the Sudamericana final for the first time since 2022, when they beat Sao Paulo 2-0 to clinch a second title.

Atletico Mineiro vs Independiente del Valle Head-To-Head and Key Numbers

• Atletico Mineiro holds a slight upper hand in the history of this fixture, having won two of the previous five meetings between the two sides.
• Independiente del Valle have picked up one win in that time, while the two teams have settled for a share of the spoils twice.
• Atletico Mineiro are unbeaten in their last seven home games across all competitions, picking up four wins and three draws since the start of September.
• Independiente del Valle have won all but one of their last six away matches, with a 2-2 draw against Mushuc Runa on September 20 being the exception.

Atletico Mineiro vs Independiente del Valle Prediction

Following the first-leg result, both teams will believe they can secure a win here, with a defeat for either being especially damaging. We expect a tight match as both teams look to reach the final.

This makes it a tough match to call, but we predict the Brazilian outfit will capitalize on their home advantage and secure a narrow victory.

Prediction: Atletico Mineiro 2-1 Independiente del Valle

Atletico Mineiro vs Independiente del Valle Betting Tips

Tip 1: Result - Atletico Mineiro to win

Tip 2: Both sides to score - Yes (Both sides have scored in four of Mineiro’s last five matches)

Tip 3: Over 10.5 corners - No (There have also been fewer than 11 corner kicks in four of Mineiro’s last five games)

Edited by Ashwin Hanagudu