Anti-development LA and SF are pushing ultra-luxury home buyers spending $10M and up to unlikely new hotspots

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A banner year for top-end luxury US real estate in 2025 saw many of the wealthiest buyers turn their attentions from traditional, regulation-choked enclaves in Los Angeles and San Francisco — and towards more supply-rich metros elsewhere in the country.

As the broader housing market struggled, home sales priced at $10 million or more boomed nationwide, totaling $38.6 billion last year, according to Compass’s newly released 2025 Ultra-Luxury Report.

Out of 84 markets across the the country, the brokerage identified 10 top locales where high-end sales shot up by nearly 32% year-over-year — hurried along by rapid wealth creation on the highest end.

Rapid wealth creation led to boom in ultra-luxury sales across the county. TK

Development-friendly states that historically saw few of these now increasingly frequent ultra-luxury transactions, like Arizona and Texas, reaped notable benefits from the boom — and from California’s lack of interest in meeting demand.

“The growth areas … often have an affinity for development in common,” Mike Simonsen, Compass’s chief economist, told The Post. “They’re development friendly, they’re tax friendly, they’re privacy friendly,”

Highly buildable cities like Phoenix/Scottsdale, Houston and Dallas enjoyed a spillover from supply-constrained hubs on the coasts, Simonsen said.

But the money isn’t always leaving the Golden State completely. More developer-friendly San Diego, which rarely saw $10 million-plus sales before the pandemic, has courted a steady stream of ultra-luxury transactions, offering Los Angeles buyers looking for room to breathe more options and greater privacy.

America’s Finest City recorded a record-high sale of $47 million in 2025 — and now ranks among the top 10 ultra-luxury markets nationwide.

Metros like Dallas give buyers room to grow — and attractive tax incentives. trongnguyen – stock.adobe.com

Houston and Dallas were breakout entries as well. The two main Texas metros offer wealthy buyers tax advantages and larger properties than their California counterparts ever could.

The Dallas-Fort Worth area grew from hosting zero ultra-luxury activity before 2020, to racking up 15 sales last year, according to the report. Houston counted just one sale of $10 million in 2019, but in 2025 hosted more a double-digit sales growth in ultra-luxury transactions for the second year running.

Houston’s 22% ultra-luxury sales growth loomed large over the 1.8% growth in the rest of the market, Simonsen noted.

That doesn’t mean that longtime top-performers Los Angeles or San Francisco lost out completely, however.

Transactions totaling $10 million or more surged still nearly 54% in Los Angeles last year, rebounding from a 17.75% decline in 2024.

High-end sales in San Francisco rose by 50%, with a total of 24 ultra-luxury units sold.

Transactions totaling $10 million or more surged 54% in Los Angeles last year. chones – stock.adobe.com

Back east, Manhattan remained the most robust ultra-luxury market in the US, with 398 sales priced $10 million and up year — a growth of nearly 30% from 2024.

NYC-based Compass broker Holly Parker told The Post that the Big Apple’s unusually busy end-of-year sales season signaled major market shifts ahead.

“After three decades, you can kind of feel the tremors before the earthquake,” Parker said.

New condos priced at $10 million or more are finding ample buyers in New York City. REUTERS
A multiple-unit purchase at 80 Clarkson snagged Downtown’s first nine-figure sale in December. Courtesy of DBOX

December brought about Downtown’s first ever sale over $100 million, when multiple condos at the West Village’s 80 Clarkson development sold for $129 million. Parker said luxury developments across the city, from Gramercy Park’s 67 Irving to 1122 Madison near Central Park, are attracting eager buyers.

“It’s a function of financial markets,” Simonsen said of Manhattan. “It’s a function of the supply that continues to be available. There people building $10 million condos.”

Nearby, The Hamptons saw its own dramatic price growth, along with number of sales. Ultra-luxury sales out East increased by nearly 83% in 2025, according to the report.

South Florida also continues to attract buyers to its warmer climes, with Palm Beach County and Miami-Dade now making up the second-largest ultra-luxe region in the US by volume.

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