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Baseball Savant has a stat called estimated success rate on fly balls and whether they'll be caught.
On the final pitch of the Los Angeles Angels' game against the Cincinnati Reds on Friday night, Ke'Bryan Hayes hit a blooping fly ball that had a 0% estimated success rate. The game shouldn't have ended on that play.
That's when Bryce Teodosio came soaring in from centerfield, dove forward and caught the ball anyway.
It wasn't an impossible catch by every metric -- Baseball Savant's catch probability gave it a 5% chance of being snagged.
Still, an incredibly improbable grab.
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Teodosio went 83 feet in 4.2 seconds, and somehow got a jump measured at 10.9 feet above average.
Basically, as soon as the ball left Hayes' bat, Teodosio was racing right to the spot where it ended up.
Catch of the Day- By the Numbers
Bryce Teodosio (4/10/26)
The best kind of highlight catch, the one nobody noticed! Just a 5% catch probability on this ball, though that's rounded up. 0% estimated success rate on Savant.
Teodosio ended the game with this beauty, covering 83 ft… pic.twitter.com/HA5ZjbKuOL
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The Angels held a 10-2 lead at the time, so even if this ball isn't caught, it's not the end of the world. They'd probably still win the game.
But it's hard to imagine a more highlight-worthy end to a blowout than this one. Teodosio made a catch that some of the computers didn't think he had any chance to make.
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