AMD Outlook Disappoints Investors Seeking Bigger AI Payoff

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 David Paul Morris/BloombergThe Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) headquarters in Santa Clara, California. Photographer: David Paul Morris/Bloomberg Photo by David Paul Morris /Photographer: David Paul Morris/

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(Bloomberg) — Advanced Micro Devices Inc., the main challenger to Nvidia Corp. in the market for artificial intelligence processors, gave a disappointing forecast for the current period, a sign it’s not making the kind of AI inroads that some investors anticipated.

Financial Post

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First-quarter sales will be roughly $9.8 billion, plus or minus $300 million, the company said in a statement Tuesday. Analysts had estimated $9.39 billion on average, but some projections topped $10 billion, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.

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In a mixed blessing, AMD said that it has begun selling one of its older chips to China. That added to sales — and suggested that the company is navigating trade restrictions — but weighed on profit margins. 

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The outlook let down investors who had hoped to see a bigger payoff from AI computing spending. AMD is still playing catch-up with Nvidia in this lucrative market, but the chipmaker has said that a new more powerful design — due in the second half of the year — will give it an advantage. 

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The shares fell more than 5% in late trading after the results were released. They had been up 13% this year through Tuesday’s close.

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Fourth-quarter sales rose 34% to $10.3 billion, beating a $9.7 billion average estimate. Profit was $1.53 a share, minus certain items. Analysts projected $1.32 on average, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.

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AMD’s data center business, the main beneficiary of AI spending, rose 39% to $5.38 billion in the period. Analysts had predicted $4.97 billion on average. Personal computer-related sales rose 34% to $3.1 billion. The average prediction was $2.89 billion.

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Like Nvidia, AMD is contending with US restrictions on what it can export to China — the world’s biggest market for chips. President Donald Trump recently moved to relax the curbs, but it’s taken time to get the needed licenses from the Department of Commerce.

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The company generated $390 million of revenue last quarter from shipping older-generation MI308 chips to Chinese customers. It expects about $100 million of such sales in the current period.

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More broadly, AMD expects giant deals with OpenAI and Oracle Corp. — as well as overall demand for AI gear — to generate tens of billions of dollars in new revenue. Analysts and investors have pressed executives for more precise projections on when that will happen.

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AMD’s recent agreements with OpenAI, Oracle and the US Department of Energy reflect increased interest in its MI series of AI accelerators. Those products, which go head to head with chips from Nvidia, are used in data centers to create and run AI services.

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AMD is also one of the largest providers of graphics chips and central processing units used in PCs and servers. Intel, AMD’s chief rival in that field, gave a disappointing forecast last month, saying it couldn’t get enough supply to meet strong demand. Wall Street took that as an indication that AMD was continuing to win market share.

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