Alberta carbon market rally fades as April 1 deadline nears

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Premier Danielle Smith and Minister of Education and Childcare Demetrios Nicolaides announced new school projects for smaller cities and rural communities in Cochrane on March 5, 2026.Premier Danielle Smith and Minister of Education and Childcare Demetrios Nicolaides announced new school projects for smaller cities and rural communities in Cochrane on March 5, 2026. Photo by Darren Makowichuk/Postmedia

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A rally in the price of Alberta’s carbon credits after the province promised to raise the industrial carbon tax and shore up its carbon trading system has faded.

Financial Post

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Credits and offsets in Alberta’s carbon market, known as the TIER system, have fallen to US$30.60 after they rose to about US$40.47 a metric tonne in January, according to Logan Downing, chairman of Carbon Assessors, a price tracker.

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The rally began in late November, when the price was around $17.46, after Prime Minister Mark Carney and Alberta Premier Danielle Smith signed a deal that included a promise by Alberta to raise the industrial price of carbon to $130 a tonne from $95 currently and to shore up the TIER system.

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Under the memorandum of understanding, Alberta and the federal government are set to negotiate a new carbon pricing arrangement by April 1. Tim Hodgson, Canada’s energy minister, recently signalled the two sides may not meet the deadline, but would continue to work on an agreement. “We’re working in good faith, we’re committed to this, we’re going to get this done,” he said.

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Credits and offsets trade on the TIER market at a massive discount to the province’s carbon price, undermining the economics of a proposed plan for oil sands producers to build a $16.5 billion carbon-capture and sequestration network that would slash emissions.

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