Wimbledon 2025: Denis Shapovalov vs Mariano Navone preview, head-to-head, prediction, odds and pick

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Match Details

Fixture: (27) Denis Shapovalov vs Mariano Navone

Date: July 1, 2025

Tournament: Wimbledon

Round: First Round (Round of 128)

Venue: All England Lawn Tennis and Croquet Club, London, England

Category: Grand Slam

Surface: Grass

Prize Money: £53,550,000

Live Telecast: USA - Tennis Channel, ESPN | UK - BBC | Canada - TSN, RDS


Denis Shapovalov vs Mariano Navone preview

 Getty)Denis Shapovalov at the Boss Open 2025. (Photo: Getty)

27th seed Denis Shapovalov will lock horns with Mariano Navone in the first round of Wimbledon 2025.

Shapovalov's time on grass began on a disappointing note, losing to Arthur Rinderknech in three sets in the first round of the Boss Open in Stuttgart. He gave a better account of himself at the Terra Wortmann Open in Halle.

Shapovalov fought past sixth seed Ugo Humbert in three sets to win his first-round contest. He was up against Flavio Cobolli for a spot in the quarterfinals and lost to him in three sets, bringing his record on grass this year to 1-2.

Following a third-round exit from the French Open, Navone commenced his grass swing at last week's Mallorca Championships. He had to compete in the qualifying rounds due to his ranking.

Navone was on the verge of winning his first qualifying match against Sebastian Ofner when the latter retired towards the end of the third set, still pushing him into the next round. Nishesh Basavareddy stood between him and a spot in the main draw, and he lost to the American in straight sets.


Denis Shapovalov vs Mariano Navone head-to-head

This will be the first career meeting between them, so the head-to-head stands at 0-0 for now.


Denis Shapovalov vs Mariano Navone odds

PlayerMoneylineHandicap BetsTotal Games
Denis Shapovalov-900+1.5 (-2500)Over 32.5 (-125)
Mariano Navone+525-1.5 (+700)Under 32.5 (-115)

(Odds are sourced from BetMGM)


Denis Shapovalov vs Mariano Navone prediction

 Getty)Mariano Navone at the French Open 2025. (Photo: Getty)

Shapovalov hit a purple patch in February, winning the Dallas Open by beating three top 10 players and reaching the semifinals of the Mexican Open. He has posted a 5-9 record since then. Despite his less than stellar start to the grass swing, he will be glad to be back at Wimbledon.

Shapovalov reached the only Major semifinal of his career so far at Wimbledon in 2021, losing to eventual champion Novak Djokovic. He made the third round here last year and hasn't lost in the first round this decade. He has a 20-23 career record on grass.

The Canadian will be heavily favored to win his opening-round contest this year. Navone, his first-round opponent, has a 0-3 career record on grass. Almost all of his career-best results so far have come on clay. Given the disparity in their results on grass, Shapovalov should be able to make a winning start to his campaign here.

Pick: Denis Shapovalov to win in straight sets.

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Rohit

Rohit is a journalist at Sportskeeda who specializes in covering tennis. Having been with the company for three years, he has proven himself as a formidable force in the field. With a Master's degree in law, Rohit brings his analytical and research skills to the forefront as a journalist. He stays on top of the game by using social media platforms and never misses a match for on-court insights. He values giving credit where it's due, keeping his reporting fair and accurate.

At the outset of his career, Rohit found his niche in writing previews and SEO pieces and it's this expertise that continues to define his role at Sportskeeda. He is particularly proud of one article that garnered an impressive 750k views and surpassed his "wildest dreams." Rohit is not particularly fond of (GOAT) debates and it is one of the reasons why he left the legal world behind. He prefers to view players in "tiers," where they're all esteemed to an extent. However, if pressed to name favorites, he would choose Serena and Venus Williams. The Williams sisters' journey from humble beginnings to the pinnacle of tennis has been his greatest source of inspiration.

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