After back-to-back losses, the Washington Commanders (7-4) need a "get-right" game to re-enter the win column.
On paper, they should have that this Sunday when they host the bitter rival Dallas Cowboys.
As of Monday afternoon, the Commanders are 10-point home favorites against a 3-6 Dallas team that will be without starting QB Dak Prescott. For perspective, the last time the Commanders were favored by more than even three points against the Cowboys was in 2007.
The vast majority of the two teams' recent matchups have not gone Washington's way. After sweeping the Commanders in 2023, the Cowboys have won five of the last six, eight of the last 11, 12 of the last 16 and 16 of the last 22.
Of the Commanders' six wins against Dallas since 2013, two were in no-stakes matchups during the final week of the regular season and two others were a sweep in 2020 with Prescott out for the season just as he is this year.
That leaves only a 20-17 overtime stunner in Week 8 of 2014, and a tight contest in Week 7 of 2018 (ironically also with a final score of 20-17) decided by a missed Cowboys field goal at the buzzer, as the only times this past decade that Washington has gotten the better of their most heated rival in a full-strength battle.
Sunday should be considered similar to the pair of 2020 matchups, but the Commanders still can't get too far ahead of themselves. Even without Prescott, Dallas hasn't given up on the season just yet, and could be a pesky opponent that uses its underdog status as extra motivation.
With a spread that wide, though, Washington should have one goal in mind: stomp straight down the Cowboys' throats. It might be their best opportunity to do so in decades.