Warriors vs. Rockets Game 5 prediction: NBA playoff odds, picks, player props

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Draymond Green #23 of the Golden State Warriors reacts after being called for a foul during the fourth quarter against the Houston Rockets in Game Three of the Western Conference First Round NBA Playoffs at Chase Center on April 26, 2025 in San Francisco, California. Draymond Green reacts after being called for a foul during the fourth quarter against the Rockets in Game 3 of the Western Conference First Round NBA Playoffs at Chase Center on April 26, 2025 in San Francisco. Getty Images

One way or another, Draymond Green impacts every single NBA game. 

The defensive standout often guards the opposing team’s best post player and is the perfect offensive facilitator alongside Steph Curry. Often we see Green’s imprint reflected in the boxscore, but during his team’s current playoff series that has not been the case. 

In each of the first four games against the Houston Rockets, the Golden State Warriors forward has cashed the Under for his proposition bets of 4.5 assists and also 19.5 combined points, rebounds and assists. 

Although Houston is leaving him open on the perimeter, Green has yet to score more than eight points. He has grabbed eight rebounds in back-to-back games, but Houston’s size advantage has prevented him from any double-digit performances. 

Draymond Green #23 of the Golden State Warriors celebrates a three point basket against the Houston Rockets during the first quarter in Game Four of the Western Conference First Round NBA Playoffs at Chase Center on April 28, 2025 in San Francisco, California.Draymond Green of the Warriors celebrates a 3-pointer against the Rockets during the first quarter in Game Four of the Western Conference First Round NBA Playoffs at Chase Center on April 28, 2025 in San Francisco. Getty Images

Plus, and most importantly, he is well below his regular-season average of 5.6 assists. Green has only tallied 10 total assists for a 2.5 game average. A large reason for this is the midseason acquisition of Jimmy Butler, which has caused Green’s average to dip more than one full assist. 

Plus, knowing the team now has another weapon, Green is focused more on setting screens to free up Curry or initiate an offense that ultimately leads to a basket in the form of a “hockey assist.” 


Betting on the NBA?


With Golden State holding a 3-1 series edge, I would not be surprised if Green is ejected. He came dangerously close in Game 4, earning both a Flagrant 1 foul and technical foul. Tension and physicality have been extremely high throughout the series, and Green is front and center. 

I am 39-30-1 ATS in this Post sports section and will add two more plays.

I will take Green Under 4.5 assists and Under 19.5 combined points, rebounds and assists.

BETS: Draymond Green Under 4.5 assists (-172, FanDuel) | Under 19.5 points, rebounds and assists (-118, BetMGM)


Why Trust New York Post Betting

Doug Kezirian is a New York Post contributor who currently serves as the Chief Content Officer for Only Players, a sports betting media company. Doug has over two decades of experience in the betting space, including spending 11 years at ESPN as a host, columnist and betting analyst. He’s also the rare personality who has documented success – 14th place in 2023 Circa Million and Las Vegas SuperContest ($37K), two top-10 finishes in 2022 William Hill College Football Challenge ($58K) and also grabbed headlines with a $297K win on the 2021 NFL Draft.

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