US Manufacturing Activity Shrinks by the Most Since November

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A worker assembles components on a diesel engine at an engine plant in Seymour, Indiana.A worker assembles components on a diesel engine at an engine plant in Seymour, Indiana. Photo by Luke Sharrett /Bloomberg

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(Bloomberg) — US manufacturing activity shrank in April by the most in five months as lean order books prompted the steepest output contraction since 2020.

Financial Post

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The Institute for Supply Management’s factory gauge eased 0.3 point to 48.7, data out Thursday showed. The group’s production index stumbled more than 4 points to 44. Readings below 50 indicate contraction. Prices paid for inputs, however, accelerated slightly.

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The figures illustrate an industrial sector struggling for traction as US tariffs and general uncertainty surrounding trade policy interrupt expansion plans. Orders shrank for a third month and backlogs retreated at a faster pace, consistent with subdued demand.

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Eleven industries expanded, led by apparel, petroleum, and plastics and rubber, while six contracted.

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The report also showed the strategy of rushing in imports ahead of tariffs is drawing to a close. The ISM imports index declined at the fastest pace since the end of 2023.

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In addition to the headwinds posed by sluggish demand, producers are also contending with higher costs. A measure of prices paid for materials increased to the highest level since June 2022 despite cheaper energy costs.

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“Demand and production retreated and destaffing continued, as panelists’ companies responded to an unknown economic environment,” Timothy Fiore, chair of the ISM Manufacturing Business Survey Committee, said in a statement. “Prices growth accelerated slightly due to tariffs, causing new order placement backlogs, supplier delivery slowdowns and manufacturing inventory growth.”

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Weak orders, slower production and declining backlogs help explain a third straight month of decreasing manufacturing employment. Government data on Friday are expected to show factory payrolls fell in April for the first time in three months.

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Meanwhile, producers are keeping inventories lean. The ISM’s gauge fell to 50.8.

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(Adds ISM comment, number of industries expanding)

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