UK Homebuilder Crest Drops Most on Record After Guidance Cut

1 hour ago 3

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(Bloomberg) — Crest Nicholson Holdings Plc’s shares plunged the most on record after cutting earnings guidance in the face of elevated economic uncertainty unleashed by the Iran war. 

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The UK homebuilder downgraded its sales guidance to a range of 1,400 to 1,500 for the year, down from 1,550 to 1,700 previously, according to a statement Tuesday. The company also warned of a “marked softening in sentiment among prospective land purchasers” as well as increased buyer caution. 

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Trading in the company’s shares was temporarily suspended as they tumbled as much as 45%, their biggest loss since their debut in 2013. 

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Higher energy costs due to the Iran war have raised inflation expectations, prompting a spike in mortgage costs. That’s clouded an anticipated recovery in the UK housing market, which had been expecting a gradual increase in sales this year. Instead, a slew of housebuilders have warned of the war’s impact and some including Berkeley Group Holdings Plc signaling they will hold off on buying more land. 

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“Macro-uncertainty has increased, with the ongoing conflict in the Middle East contributing to the prospect of a more prolonged higher interest rate environment, renewed cost pressures and a deterioration in consumer confidence,” the company said in the statement. 

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The group expects an impact on profits, with earnings before interest and taxes for the financial year seen in a range of £5 million ($6.7 million) to £15 million. 

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As a result Crest is now in early talks with lenders, seeking “temporary banking covenant relaxation.” The company’s revised expectations for its net debt position for the end of the financial year is now £100 million to £120 million. 

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“Crest’s profit warning comes with the added spice of conversations with its lenders, sparking wholesale flight from the shares,” IG chief market analyst Chris Beauchamp wrote in a note Friday. “Questions about the long-term future are bound to crop up once again, especially after a decline that has seen the company lose 90% of its value in under a decade”

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(Updates with revised profit expectations, talks with lenders from sixth paragraph.)

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