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(Bloomberg) — UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer and German Chancellor Friedrich Merz will sign a new Anglo-German treaty in London on Thursday that includes a commitment to assist each other in case of armed attack.
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Starmer and Merz’s predecessor, Social Democrat Olaf Scholz, laid the groundwork for the pact at a meeting last August in Berlin, when the British premier called it “part of a wider reset grounded in a new spirit of cooperation.”
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Conservative leader Merz has made clear his regret over the UK quitting the European Union and has vowed to join forces with Starmer to confront challenges like Donald Trump’s trade onslaught and the war on Ukraine. His trip to London comes a week after French President Emmanuel Macron made the first state visit by a European leader to the UK since Brexit, helping to reinforce warmer Anglo-French relations.
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Here’s what to look out for from Thursday’s meeting, when Starmer and Merz are due to sign the new treaty during a ceremony at London’s Victoria and Albert Museum:
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Mutual Defense
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The mutual defense pledge is a reaction both to an increasingly aggressive Russia and growing concern among European allies about US commitment to NATO under President Trump, according to a senior German official.
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At the same time, it’s not meant to be a substitute for the principle of collective defense at the heart of NATO’s founding treaty, known as Article 5, added the official, who asked not to be identified discussing confidential deliberations.
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Nuclear Deterrence
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For Germany, the defense element is particularly significant because the UK is, together with France, one of Europe’s two nuclear powers. Germany doesn’t possess its own nuclear warheads, but benefits from the protective “umbrella” the US has spread over the continent.
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Atomic weapons are not explicitly mentioned in the new treaty, according to the German official.
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Missile Project
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Starmer and Merz will also make a commitment to deliver a new long-range missile system — the Deep Precision Strike capability — in the next decade, according to a statement from Starmer’s office.
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It will have a range of more than 2,000 kilometers (1,240 miles) and help boost the UK and European defense sectors via “significant industrial investment.”
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Brexit Fallout
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The treaty also contains measures relating to trade, transport and irregular migration, part of an effort to minimize the negative effects of Brexit. Alongside the pact, Germany is expected to commit to making it illegal to facilitate irregular migration to the UK, with the law change to be adopted by the end of the year, Starmer’s office said.
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Following the recent deal between Britain and the US, Merz and Starmer will also discuss the ongoing trade talks between Brussels and Washington, according to the German official. Merz has called for a swift EU-US trade accord and cited Trump’s deal with Starmer as a potential model.