This summer could be one of the hottest on record — with a one-in-four chance of a “super El Niño” turbocharging temperatures in New York and around the world.
El Niño is a naturally occurring phenomenon in which warming Pacific Ocean surface waters disrupt weather patterns worldwide — driving higher temperatures, more severe storms, and a more active Atlantic hurricane season.
There is a 62% chance of El Niño forming from June to August and then lasting through the end of the year, according to a report from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s Climate Prediction Center.
This summer could be among the hottest on record, thanks to an El Nino. APThere is a 25% chance the El Niño will be “very strong” — giving it the title “super El Niño,” the center said.
To be qualified as a “super El Niño,” water temps need to rise at least 4 degrees higher than average — with Fox Weather reporting sea surface temps are already 2 to 3 degrees higher than average in the Pacific.
New York will be steamier this summer as El Niño conditions intensify globally, with Big Apple residents expected to be sweating through more 90-degree days than usual, meteorologists predict.
Gotham could sweat through as many as 22 days over 90 degrees this summer — last year there were only 14 such days — according to AccuWeather.
An El Nino is predicted to bring soaring temperatures. Getty ImagesThat would still fall short of the all-time record set in 2010, when the city endured 34 scorching days above 90 degrees. Since 2011, New York has averaged 18 days over 90 degrees annually.
The warning signs are already here. An 85-year-old heat record was shattered last month when Central Park hit 90 degrees on April 15 — the hottest April day since 1941.
Columbia climatologist Dr. James Hansen predicted in a new paper that “2026 will be the warmest year in the period of instrumental temperature measurements” — eclipsing 2024 as the hottest year ever recorded.
“Of course, 2027 will be still hotter,” he added.
The last “super El Niño” was in 2015-2016.

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