Reds predicted to snap MLB postseason skid that dates back to 1995

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The Cincinnati Reds have not won a postseason game at their home ballpark since 1995. 

According to The Athletic's Eno Sarris, all 29 other organizations have won at least one postseason game at their stadium since then. 

However, there's reason for optimism that will change this year for the Reds. Sarris predicts the Reds will break the streak, despite Hunter Greene's injury

"It’s weird timing, because Hunter Greene just had surgery that will keep him out of most, if not all, of the first half," Sarris wrote. "But this is a great staff that’s projected to be among the best in baseball by at least one metric." 

Reds among projected leaders in Stuff+

The Reds' rotation should be formidable, even without Greene. FanGraphs projects Cincinnati's rotation as the second-best in the Majors in terms of Stuff+, behind only the Philadelphia Phillies

Stuff+ is a sabametric model that grades movement, velocity, spin rate, and many other factors of a pitch. 

“We have a good mix of guys,” Rhett Lowder told Sarris. “You’ve got stuff, you have location, and game planning, and then angles. You have a little bit of everything with this group.”

If the Reds are to break their longstanding home playoff drought, it may be the pitching staff that leads them to victory. 

Cincinnati did not have an opportunity to host a postseason game in 2025, losing last year's Wild Card Series in two games to the Los Angeles Dodgers in California. 

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