Red Sox most likely to make disappointing Jarren Duran trade decision

The Boston Red Sox are looking likely to be trade deadline sellers this summer, and there are plenty of interesting trade chips who could be on the move.

Jarren Duran is one name to keep a close eye on, as he's been in rumors for a while now, and could be on the move this summer. However, the current outlook doesn't look too good.

As MLB.com's Mark Feinsand notes, the Red Sox are more likely to make a disappointing decision with Duran at this year's deadline. That decision would involve Duran staying in Boston, and the club hoping he builds up some trade value.

Red Sox likely to hold onto Jarren Duran and hope he increases trade value

"What could Boston get back for the 2024 All-Star Game MVP?" Feinsand writes. "Would the return be worth it? The more likely scenario is for the Red Sox to hold Duran for the rest of this year, hope he has a strong second half to regain some value, then look to move him in the offseason."

If they can't get something decent in return for Duran this season, then keeping him and hoping he can turn things around isn't a terrible idea.

But what it does do is make their decision not to trade him last season look a whole lot worse. The Red Sox were getting a lot of interest in Duran, and might've been able to trade him for a huge return.

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However, with Duran struggling this season with a .199 batting average, 0.5 bWAR, and a .624 OPS in 292 at-bats, there might not be a lot of value placed on Duran this summer.

As someone under club control through the 2028 season, Duran will have some inherent trade value, but it's not going to be anywhere close to what they could've gotten a year ago.

If this trade projection from Feinsand comes to fruition, and the Red Sox keep Duran since they don't get good trade offers, it will be a very disappointing decision.

The 29-year-old outfielder might lose even more trade value the longer the Red Sox hold onto him, barring a significant turnaround. This is a bad situation for the Red Sox, and one that could lead to disaster if handled poorly. 

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