PSG vs. Arsenal prediction, odds, betting tips and best bets for Champions League semifinal second leg

With one UEFA Champions League semifinalist now confirmed, Arsenal and PSG will duke it out for the other coveted spot in Munich as the two European giants clash in Paris on Wednesday.

These two sides played to a thrilling 1-0 PSG victory at the Emirates Stadium last week, with Ousmane Dembele's early goal proving the difference. Both sides missed good chances to change the narrative, leaving it all to play for in the second leg.

Neither club has ever won the Champions League, a gaping hole in their otherwise long and illustrious history. PSG infamously ditched their star-studded approach for a more developmental squad construction, and it seems to have paid off, trouncing the rest of Ligue 1 while also proving themselves one of Europe's most dangerous sides.

Arsenal, meanwhile, have built a perennial Premier League contender under Mikel Arteta that has reached this far even while enduring a brutal injury crisis through the second half of the season. Their journey to the Champions League semifinals will be praised regardless of the outcome, but defeat would still be a bitter pill to swallow having come so close to what would be truly memorable glory.

The winner in Paris on Wednesday will join Inter Milan in the final later this month, as the Italian side stunned Barcelona in a thrilling semifinal the day before.

MORE: A complete guide to betting on soccer in the United States

PSG vs. Arsenal prediction, odds

• Moneyline lean: PSG (+110 on DraftKings)
• Score prediction: PSG 3-1 Arsenal

PSG won a low-scoring affair on the road in the first leg, but the game should have ended with a much more explosive result as both teams missed big chances in front of goal.

An open game very much favours PSG, who are exceptional playing on the counter. They had good chances in the first leg even as Arsenal tried to kill much of the middle of the game with defensive possession.

PSG vs. Arsenal match facts

• Date: Wednesday, May 7, 2025
• Kickoff Time: 9 p.m. local (3 p.m. ET / 12 p.m. PT)
• Location: Parc des Princes (Paris, France)
• Referee: Felix Zwayer (GER)
• Last meeting: Arsenal 0-1 PSG (Tue, Apr. 29, 2025 | Champions League)

MORE: Latest team news and injury updates ahead of PSG vs. Arsenal | Will Ousmane Dembele play?

PSG vs. Arsenal best bets

• Pick: Khvicha Kvaratskhelia to score or assist a goal
• Odds: +115 on FanDuel

• Pick: Jurrien Timber to be booked
• Odds: +290 on FanDuel

Throughout the first leg, especially in the first half, Khvicha Kvaratskhelia had Arsenal full-back Jurrien Timber on roller skates. While PSG's January addition didn't finish the match with an official completed dribble, there's a reason for that...he was repeatedly fouled.

Timber's four fouls in the opening 20 minutes of play was the most of any player in the Champions League this season, and it was a miracle he wasn't booked as a result. Even with that, Kvara won eight of his 16 ground duels, took three shots, including one that was well saved by David Raya, picked up an assist, had seven touches in the opposition penalty area, and had 10 defensive actions in a comprehensive performance.

Now at home, where Kvara has claimed three of his four Champions League goal contributions and six of nine overall between league and Europe, he should be able to make good on that first leg showing, especially as Arsenal know they must open themselves up to find a way back level, leaving PSG to open on the counter where they have impressed this year.

PSG vs. Arsenal prop bet

• Pick: Gabriel Martinelli 3+ total shots
• Odds: +200 on FanDuel

Nuno Mendes has been utterly brilliant for PSG all season long in the Champions League, pocketing Mohamed Salah in the Round of 16 against Liverpool and doing a fabulous job against Bukayo Saka in the first leg last week. The PSG left-back limited Saka to just one shot and one chance created, partially down to his fabulous defensive work with a nod to Saka's need to help Jurrien Timber defensively against Khvicha Kvaratskhelia.

As a result, Arsenal were forced to build largely down the left, which fed Gabriel Martinelli with chances. The Brazilian had three shots in the first leg at home and should have scored, as he put one huge chance wide (worth an incredible 0.83 xG!) and seeing another huge opportunity saved by Gianluuigi Donnarumma.

With Arsenal coming into this match down a goal, they will surely feed Martinelli again, especially knowing PSG right-back Achraf Hakimi likes to push very high into the attack. Arsenal often use Saka on the right to recycle defensive possession, and thus Martinelli becomes an outlet on the left. Back him to continue looking for goals as he did in the first leg, and the Gunners will hope he can finish chances better this time around.