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6 hours ago
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The San Diego Padres have made a few signings and trades over the past few seasons. But none have looked as bleak as the massive deal dished out to Xander Bogaerts.
After two and a half seasons with Bogaerts, things aren't looking good. As Kerry Miller of Bleacher Report called it, the deal could look "terrifying" if things continue to go awry for Bogaerts and the Padres.
"If Bogaerts can't even post a .700 OPS in his early 30s," Miller writes. "It's terrifying to think about what his hitting will look like in the early 2030s."
The Padres signed Bogaerts to a massive 11-year contract worth $280 million total. He's signed through the 2033 season, and in 2025, there are some major question marks with his game.
The former four-time All-Star and five-time Silver Slugger hasn't matched his production with the Boston Red Sox in San Diego. Bogaerts has struggled in San Diego, and he's been a below-average hitter in the past two years.
While his 2023 season wasn't terrible, it wasn't up to his normal standards. From 2018 to 2022, Bogaerts never had an OPS+ below 122. In San Diego, he had a 117 OPS+ in year one, but in 2024 and so far in 2025, he has a 92 OPS+.
In 2025, Bogaerts is batting .251 with a .362 slugging percentage and a .690 OPS. He also had a .688 OPS in 2024. The last time he had a sub-.700 OPS was in 2014 in his second season in the Major Leagues at age 21.
Now, at 32 years old, Bogaerts is struggling offensively. He hasn't lived up to the hype of his contract at all, and with his deal running through the next eight and a half seasons, the Padres could be in trouble.
Miller's premise was that the Bogaerts contract was a cringeworthy deal. With the massive amount of money owed and the duration he's been locked up, it's not a surprise that Bogaerts' deal is a "terrifying" one.
His contract could have massive ramifications down the line for San Diego. If Bogaerts doesn't turn things around, this massive extension could be one of the worst in baseball when it's all said and done.
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