Oil Gains in Technical Correction While US Inventories Decline

A vessel loading crude oil for export through an underwater pipeline and a single buoymooring at Cenits Coveas Port, a subsidiary of Ecopetrol, in Coveas, Sucre department,Colombia, on Wednesday, Oct. 1, 2025. Photographer: Carlos Parra Ros/Bloomberg. Photo by Carlos Parra Rios /Bloomberg

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(Bloomberg) — Oil rose after a technical guage signaled recent declines were overdone, while a US government report showing a decline in inventories offered some relief over concerns about oversupply. 

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West Texas Intermediate futures advanced 2.8% to trade above $58 a barrel, signaling a corrective phase following a roughly week-long stint in oversold territory on the relative strength index. 

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The commodity received support from government data that showed total US petroleum stockpiles declined by about 4.2 million barrels to reach the lowest since late September. The no-surprises report was also generally in-line with a closely followed industry forecast by the API.

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“While the release isn’t likely to change the broader consensus that large builds are imminent, it does help the market hold recent gains,” said Rebecca Babin, a senior energy trader at CIBC Private Wealth Group. “That said, it’s not a strong catalyst for further upside, as many traders still believe sizable builds are just around the corner.”

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Oil still remains on track for a third monthly loss as signs of a global surplus put downward pressure on prices, though that’s provided an opportunity for the Trump administration to buy crude for strategic reserves. The US plans to purchase 1 million barrels for delivery in December and January.

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The commodity earlier perked up on a report the US and India are nearing a trade deal that could see the South Asian nation gradually reduce imports of Russian crude, which would boost demand for alternative supplies. India’s refiners have previously indicated they would trim, but not stop, the imports.

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Adding to that bullish sentiment, European Union leaders are expected to greenlight a 19th Russia sanctions package at a summit on Thursday, after Slovakia dropped its objections. Russia on Wednesday launched multiple drone and missile strikes on Ukraine as the latest peace attempts by US President Donald Trump appeared to be floundering. The impact of these moves on Russian flows still remains uncertain. 

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The premium that front-month WTI futures command over the next month’s contract, known as the prompt spread, has narrowed over the past few months but still signals tight short-term supplies in a price structure known as backwardation. That’s also true for Brent crude.

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—With assistance from Rong Wei Neo.

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