NFL Week 11 survivor pool guide: Picks, analysis, strategy

Week 11 might be the best slate of football all season.

A loaded NFL schedule filled with future playoff matchups and division rivalry games makes this weekend both perilous for survivor players and fun for watchers.

If you’re still in your survivor pool after the Saints upset the Panthers, you’re both sharp and lucky.

In the major Las Vegas tournament, exactly 1,000 entries remain after 27 percent (490) were eliminated on the Panthers alone.

Below, we evaluate an extremely tricky Week 11 slate with survival on our minds.

Patriots (-12.5) vs. Jets

The clear top play of the week is on “Thursday Night Football.”

New England is riding tall right now after defeating the Buccaneers on the road.

The Patriots have every advantage in the matchup, and the Jets’ two wins are mostly smoke and mirrors.

There is some reason to be aware, though, as my betting model has the Pats favored by eight points, so this is not a smash spot by any means.

There is a case to take the Packers or Ravens this week.

The Dolphins are playing a bit better in the middle of a tough season. Getty Images

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Dolphins (-2.5) vs. Commanders

How much do you still believe in the Dolphins? They’re not great.

They aren’t a great team to take at this point. I suppose, if you’re really trying to make a move on a team that not many will have this week, you could do worse than the Dolphins.

There are a few things to consider here. Miami played particularly well last week when they beat the Bills, but it was their defense that actually stood out the most.

They moved from No. 29 in DVOA to No. 23, and part of that could be addition by subtraction.

The Dolphins sold big at the deadline and might play better as a result.

Their team really isn’t injured aside from Tyreek Hill, while the Commanders are expected to be without Jayden Daniels again this week.

Washington has been on a steady downturn, moving from a top 10 DVOA team all the way down to No. 19 overall. If you believe in the Dolphins, you think they are playing better at this point, while the Commanders are trending down.

Why Trust New York Post Betting

Erich Richter is a brazilian jiu-jitsu blue belt but he has a black belt in MMA betting. During the football season he’s showcased massive profits at The Post in the player prop market the last two seasons. While constantly betting long shots, his return on investment is 30.15 percent since 2022.