NBA Draft lottery odds 2026: Every team's updated chances to get No. 1 pick

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While last year's NBA Draft had the foregone conclusion of Duke's Cooper Flagg going No. 1 to the Dallas Mavericks, this year's draft has a lot more question marks about who will hear their name first on draft night.

Kansas's Darryn Peterson is a popular pick to potentially follow in Flagg's footsteps, but it will be interesting to see if NBA teams are concerned about his playability after asking to be checked out of games this season for the Jayhawks. Regardless of the fact that this only happened a few times this season, it's something scouts may notice and be turned away from, despite his unbelievable talent.

According to the current draft odds on FanDuel, BYU's AJ Dybantsa is currently the favorite to be the first player selected. The Cougar was a game-changer for his school and possesses the raw talents that NBA scouts go crazy about. Duke's Cameron Boozer should also be atop the draft board this June, but there are some questions about how he most likely won't dominate the NBA game as he did in college.

Here is a current rundown of lottery odds and an analysis of the top prospects ahead of the draft starting on June 25 in Brooklyn.

MORE: SN's latest 2026 NBA Draft mock draft for A.J. Dybantsa, Darryn Peterson

NBA Draft Lottery odds 2026

The tank battle is most certainly on for the NBA's worst as we approach the end of the season. Across the three teams currently most likely to win the lottery, they have lost 39 games straight as of March 23.

The Indiana Pacers, losers of 16 straight to date, knew the 2025-2026 season would be a filler year after Tyrese Haliburton tore his Achilles in Game 7 of the 2025 NBA Finals. With the guard expected to come back to begin next season, it's more important than ever for Indiana to pick up where they left off in the 2025 Finals, going toe-to-toe against the Oklahoma City Thunder prior to Haliburton's injury. There might not be a better way to do that than guaranteeing to get top-draft caliber to bolster a roster that consists of Haliburton and Pascal Siakam.

The Washington Wizards, who have also lost 16 straight games to date, have also waved the white flag for this year's campaign. With mid-season acquisitions of Trae Young and Anthony Davis, Washington added some stars to the NBA's second-youngest team (average age of 23.78). If the Wizards get a top-three pick, it would be hard to mess up their draft selection of (most likely) Dybantsa, Peterson, or Boozer.

Rounding out the top of the current lottery odds among the 14% teams is the Brooklyn Nets. Four long years ago, the team had the expectations of competing for an NBA championship with Kevin Durant, Kyrie Irving, and James Harden. It's safe to say those hopes have come and gone as the team readjusted its priorities through the draft. As the NBA's youngest team (average age of 23.36), they don't have five first-round picks to use as they did in last year's draft. It will be more important than ever for Brooklyn to hit on this pick, regardless of whether they win the lottery or not.

Here are the odds as of March 23, with about three weeks left in the season (just over 10 games remaining for each team).

TeamOdds to win No. 1 pick
Pacers14%
Wizards14%
Nets14%
Kings12.5%
Jazz10.5%
Mavericks9.0%
Grizzlies7.5%
Hawks (via Pelicans)6.0%
Bulls4.5%
Bucks3.0%
Warriors2.0%
Blazers1.5%
Hornets1.0%
Heat0.5%

MORE: SN's Top 10 NBA Draft prospects in this year's March Madness

2026 NBA Draft odds: Who will go No. 1 overall?

This year's NBA Draft has more questions as to who will go No. 1 compared to the 2025 Draft. AJ Dybantsa, whose BYU team fell 79-71 to the Texas Longhorns in the Round of 64 in this year's NCAA Tournament, currently has the best odds to hear his name called first, according to FanDuel.

This season, the Cougars' freshman ended the season as the nation's leading scorer, averaging 25.5 points, 6.8 rebounds, 3.7 assists, and 1.1 steals, while shooting 51% from the field. Against Texas, the 6-foot-9 forward gave NBA teams one last great collegiate performance by putting up a double-double that consisted of 35 points and 10 rebounds across all 40 minutes of gametime.

Another popular pick to be drafted first overall is Kansas Jayhawk Darryn Peterson. Peterson finished the season averaging 20.2 points, 4.2 rebounds, 1.6 assists, and 1.5 steals, along with shooting 43.8% from the field. The versatile 6' 6" guard did not possess the assist capabilities that normally come with being a guard, but playing in a different NBA offensive system may help Peterson show off his scoring capabilities.

Sporting News' Player of the Year Cameron Boozer was nothing short of spectacular this year for the Duke Blue Devils. The son of two-time NBA All-Star Carlos Boozer led Duke to a No.1 seed in this year's tournament and was the blue blood's team leader in points (22.4), rebounds (10.3), and assists (4.2). While he may not hear his name called first in June, Boozer has a good shot of hearing his name within the top three selections and will comfortably be a top-five pick.

Arkansas's Darius Acuff Jr. and North Carolina's Caleb Wilson will most likely not be the first to shake Adam Silver's hand on draft night, but they do possess great potential to develop well in the NBA. Offensively, Acuff can hold his own against anyone. The Razorback was the nation's seventh leading scorer this season with 23.3 points per game on 48.6% shooting, along with contributing 6.5 assists (13th), and 3.1 rebounds. It's defensively where the guard struggles. Acuff may need to bolster his defensive skills a bit for the NBA's pace of play, but he should be within the top five of names called.

Tar Heel Caleb Wilson fell victim to an unfortunate broken thumb injury at the beginning of March, while already fracturing his left hand in February, which prevented him from playing in this year's NCAA Tournament. Prior to this, the freshman forward almost averaged a double-double for UNC, putting up 19.8 points on 57.8% from the field, 9.4 rebounds, and 2.7 assists, along with his defensive prowess, where he averaged 1.4 steals and 1.3 blocks. Wilson's 6-foot-10 height, along with his stellar defensive cues, should make him a great addition for any NBA team that selects him, assuming he recovers well from his collegiate injuries.

Here are the current odds for who will be first off the board during the NBA Draft on June 25 in Brooklyn.

PlayerSchoolOdds to go No. 1
AJ DybantsaBYU-115
Darryn PetersonKansas+140
Cameron BoozerDuke+470
Darius Acuff Jr.Arkansas+10000
Caleb WilsonNorth Carolina+15000

SN AWARDS: All-America team | Boozer Player of the Year | Lloyd Coach of the Year 

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