Moldova vs Italy Prediction and Betting Tips | November 13th 2025

Moldova will invite Italy to the Zimbru Stadium in the 2026 FIFA World Cup qualifiers on Thursday. The hosts are winless in the qualifying campaign thus far and have lost five of their six games. The Azzurri, meanwhile, have won five of the six games.

Tricolorii ended their losing streak after seven games last month, as they were held to a 1-1 draw by Estonia in the World Cup qualifiers. Mattias Käit put Estonia ahead in the 12th minute, and Ștefan Bodișteanu pulled them level in the 64th minute.

The visitors made it five wins in a row last month, defeating Israel 3-1 at home last time around. Mateo Retegui continued his fine form with a brace, while Gianluca Mancini added a goal in stoppage time.

Moldova vs Italy Head-to-Head and Key Numbers

• The two sides have met six times in all competitions thus far. The visitors have a 100% record in these meetings, keeping four clean sheets.
• They last met in the reverse fixture in June, and the Azzurri recorded a 2-0 home win.
• Four of the last six meetings between them have produced over 2.5 goals.
• The hosts have the second-worst defensive record in the UEFA phase of the World Cup qualifiers, conceding 26 goals.
• Moldova have scored one goal apiece in their last three games across all competitions.
• The Azzurri have scored at least three goals in their last four games in the World Cup qualifiers.
• The hosts have failed to score in three of their five World Cup qualifying meetings against the Blues.
• Tricolorii have lost their three home games in the qualifiers in 2025, failing to score in two.

Moldova vs Italy Prediction

Tricolorii are winless in the World Cup qualifiers since 2013, with their last win in the qualifiers registered away from home. They have failed to score in five of their last six home games in the qualifiers, which is a cause for concern.

The Azzurri head into the match in great form, winning five games while scoring 18 goals, and will look to build on that form. They have scored four goals in two away games against the hosts.

Federico Chiesa has declined an invitation to join the squad yet again, while Riccardo Calafiori has been training individually due to a knock.

The visitors have a 100% record in this fixture, and considering their current form, we back them to register a comfortable win.

Prediction: Moldova 1-3 Italy

Moldova vs Italy Betting Tips

Tip 1: Result - Italy to win

Tip 2: Goals - Over/Under 2.5 Goals - Over 2.5 goals

Tip 3: Both teams to score - Yes

Tip 4: At least one goal to be scored in the second half - Yes

Edited by Peter P