March Madness odds 2026: Projecting the teams with best chances to make each round, win NCAA Tournament

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Every team in the 2026 NCAA Tournament is now 0-0. The 2026 NCAA Tournament bracket is officially live, and oddsmakers have wasted no time identifying the heavyweights on the road to Indianapolis.

With the selection committee mirroring last season’s chalky results by awarding the No. 1 seeds to Duke, Arizona, Michigan, and defending champion Florida, the betting markets are bracing for a high-stakes battle between the sport's elite. While the Boozer Effect has vaulted the Blue Devils into the role of overall betting favorites, the path to a title is anything but guaranteed. From UConn’s quest to reclaim its throne to the staggering efficiency of the Wolverines, the opening lines suggest that the gap between the top line and the rest of the field is the thinnest it has been in years.

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As you look to project the teams with the best chances to navigate the gauntlet, the betting board offers a fascinating look at where the money is landing. Whether it's the defensive dominance of a reloaded Duke squad or the rebounding prowess of an Arizona team looking to end a nearly 30-year title drought, here is how the 2026 title odds look as the madness begins.

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Updated March Madness odds 2026

Behind the National Player of the Year Boozer, the Arizona Wildcats are favored to be the last team standing come the national championship. According to FanDuel SportsBook, Arizona is the favorite, followed by the other three one seeds in Duke (+370), Michigan (+370) and Florida (+800).

SN EXPERT BRACKETS: DeCourcy (Arizona) | Bender (Michigan) | Iyer (Arizona) | Gay (UCLA women)

After Michigan, Arizona and Florida, there is a heavy dropoff into the +1000 odds, starting with Houston, who was a basket away from winning it all in 2025. The Cougars can set up a potential rematch with Florida in the Elite Eight, if both teams take care of business. Next up are two flamethrower offenses in Iowa State (+1800) and Illinois (+2200).

TeamOdds
Arizona+330
Duke+370
Michigan+370
Florida+800
Houston+1400
Iowa State+1800
Illinois+2200
Purdue+2700
Connecticut+3500
BYU+50000
Michigan State+6000
Virginia+6500
Arkansas+6500
Vanderbilt+7500
Gonzaga+8000
Kansas+8000
Alabama+10000
St. John's+10000
Tennessee+10000
Nebraska+12500
Wisconsin+12500
Louisville+12500
Texas Tech+15000
UCLA+20000
Kentucky+25000
Ohio State+25000
Iowa+30000
Saint Mary's+35000
Georgia+35000
Miami+60000
Utah State+75000
NC State+100000
Texas+100000
North Carolina+100000
Villanova+100000
Clemson+100000
TCU+100000
Saint Louis+100000
UCF+100000
Missouri+100000
Santa Clara+100000
Texas A&M+100000
South Florida+100000
Miami (OH)+100000
SMU+100000
VCU+100000
Northern Iowa+100000
High Point+100000
Akron+100000
McNeese+100000
California Baptist+100000
Hawai'i+100000
Hofstra+100000
Troy+100000
North Dakota State+100000
Kennesaw State+100000
Wright State+100000
Pennsylvania+100000
Furman+100000
Queen's University+100000
Tennessee State+100000
Idaho+100000
Siena+100000
Long Island University+100000
Howard+100000
UMBC+100000
Lehigh+100000
Prairie View A&M+100000

Odds to reach national championship

To make the final game, the odds are similar to above. Duke, Arizona and Michigan lead the way, with the defending champions Gators right behind them.

TeamOdds
Duke+170
Arizona+175
Michigan+190
Florida+360
Houston+600
Iowa State+800
Illinois+850
Purdue+1200
Connecticut+1500
Michigan State+2000
Arkansas+2500
Virginia+2700
Gonzaga+3000
Kansas+3000
Vanderbilt+3000
St. John's+3500
Alabama+4000
Louisville+4000
Tennessee+4000
Nebraska+4500
Wisconsin+4500
Texas Tech+6500
UCLA+6500
Ohio State+8000
Kentucky+10000
Saint Mary's+10000
Iowa+10000
BYU+12500
Georgia+12500
Miami+15000
Clemson+22500
Utah State+22500
NC State+22500
North Carolina+25000
TCU+25000
Texas+25000
Missouri+35000
Texas A&M+40000
South Florida+40000
Saint Louis+50000
Santa Clara+60000
SMU+60000
Villanova+75000
UCF+75000
Miami (OH)+75000
VCU+75000
Northern Iowa+75000
High Point+75000
Akron+75000
McNeese+75000
California Baptist+75000
Hawai'i+75000
Hofstra+75000
Troy+75000
North Dakota State+75000
Kennesaw State+75000
Wright State+75000
Pennsylvania+75000
Furman+75000
Queen's University+75000
Tennessee State+75000
Idaho+75000
Siena+75000
Long Island University+75000
Howard+75000
UMBC+75000
Lehigh+75000
Prairie View A&M+75000

Odds to reach Final Four

FanDuel has three No. 1 seeds at minus odds to make it to Indianapolis: Arizona out of the West, Duke out of the East and Michigan out of the Midwest. In the South, Florida is the favorite, with Houston — who Florida defeated in the 2025 national championship — right behind.

TeamOdds
Arizona-145
Duke-130
Michigan-130
Florida+155
Houston+260
Iowa State+340
Illinois+370
Purdue+450
Connecticut+600
Michigan State+800
Arkansas+900
Virginia+1000
Gonzaga+1100
Vanderbilt+1100
Kansas+1200
St. John's+1400
Alabama+1500
Louisville+1600
Tennessee+1600
Nebraska+1700
Wisconsin+1700
Texas Tech+2200
UCLA+2500
Kentucky+3500
Ohio State+3500
Iowa+3500
Saint Mary's+4000
BYU+4500
Miami+4500
Georgia+4500
NC State+7000
Texas+7000
North Carolina+7500
Utah State+7500
Clemson+8000
TCU+10000
Saint Louis+10000
Missouri+10000
Texas A&M+10000
Villanova+12500
Santa Clara+12500
South Florida+12500
UCF+15000
SMU+15000
VCU+15000
Akron+25000
Miami (OH)+50000
Northern Iowa+50000
High Point+50000
McNeese+50000
California Baptist+50000
Hawai'i+50000
Hofstra+50000
Troy+50000
North Dakota State+50000
Kennesaw State+50000
Wright State+50000
Pennsylvania+50000
Furman+50000
Queen's University+50000
Tennessee State+50000
Idaho+50000
Siena+50000
Long Island University+50000
Howard+50000
UMBC+50000
Lehigh+50000
Prairie View A&M+50000

Odds to reach Elite Eight

Five teams have minus odds to make the Elite Eight, with the No. 2 Iowa State Cyclones out of the Midwest joining the four one seeds. Houston, Purdue, Illinois and UConn are right behind them to make it to their respective regional finals.

TeamOdds
Michigan-290
Arizona-280
Duke-250
Florida-170
Iowa State-105
Houston+100
Purdue+105
Illinois+140
Connecticut+155
Michigan State+210
Gonzaga+250
Virginia+280
Vanderbilt+410
Louisville+460
Tennessee+470
Arkansas+480
Kansas+600
Nebraska+600
Alabama+650
St. John's+650
UCLA+650
Wisconsin+850
Texas Tech+950
BYU+1000
Kentucky+1000
Miami+1100
Saint Mary's+1400
Iowa+1400
Ohio State+1700
NC State+1700
Missouri+1800
Texas+1900
Georgia+2000
North Carolina+2200
South Florida+2200
Clemson+2700
UCF+3000
Santa Clara+3000
Texas A&M+3000
Utah State+3300
Saint Louis+3500
TCU+4000
SMU+4000
VCU+4000
Villanova+5500
Akron+7500
McNeese+15000
Northern Iowa+17500
High Point+25000
Hofstra+25000
Miami (OH)+30000
California Baptist+30000
Hawai'i+30000
Troy+30000
North Dakota State+30000
Kennesaw State+30000
Wright State+30000
Pennsylvania+30000
Furman+30000
Queen's University+30000
Tennessee State+30000
Idaho+30000
Siena+30000
Long Island University+30000
Howard+30000
UMBC+30000
Lehigh+30000
Prairie View A&M+30000

Odds to reach Sweet Sixteen

Here are the odds for each team to make it to the second weekend of the NCAA Tournament. St. John's is the first team to see plus money, with a potential matchup against Darryn Peterson and Kansas in the Round of 32.

TeamOdds
Arizona-1000
Michigan-750
Duke-650
Florida-475
Illinois-390
Houston-350
Iowa State-320
Purdue-290
Connecticut-210
Arkansas-155
Gonzaga-150
Michigan State-140
Virginia-135
Alabama-120
Vanderbilt-120
Kansas-115
St. John's+110
Nebraska+120
Wisconsin+150
Tennessee+150
Texas Tech+155
Louisville+180
UCLA+250
BYU+350
Kentucky+410
Miami+470
Saint Mary's+500
North Carolina+550
Iowa+650
Missouri+650
NC State+650
South Florida+700
Texas+700
Ohio State+800
Akron+900
Texas A&M+950
VCU+950
Georgia+1000
UCF+1000
Santa Clara+1000
Clemson+1100
SMU+1200
Utah State+1300
TCU+1700
Saint Louis+1700
Northern Iowa+1900
Villanova+2000
McNeese+2000
High Point+2500
Hofstra+2700
California Baptist+3500
Troy+3500
Hawai'i+4000
North Dakota State+6000
Miami (OH)+10000
Kennesaw State+10000
Wright State+10000
Furman+10000
Idaho+12500
Pennsylvania+17500
Queen's University+20000
Tennessee State+20000
Siena+20000
Long Island University+20000
Howard+20000
UMBC+20000
Lehigh+20000
Prairie View A&M+20000

Odds to reach Round of 32

Here are the odds for each team to make it past the first round of the tournament. Arizona, who faces LIU as the biggest favorite in March Madness history, is an overwhelming -100000 favorite, and 14 teams have odds shorter than -1000 to move on.

TeamOdds
Arizona-100000
Duke-50000
Florida-50000
Michigan-30000
Purdue-10000
Iowa State-10000
Illinois-10000
Houston-8000
Connecticut-4000
Gonzaga-3500
Virginia-3500
Michigan State-1600
Arkansas-1450
Kansas-1250
Alabama-850
Nebraska-850
Vanderbilt-720
St. John's-600
Wisconsin-450
Tennessee-360
Texas Tech-300
UCLA-235
Louisville-220
Kentucky-156
Ohio State-154
Georgia-146
Iowa-146
Saint Mary's-144
North Carolina-142
Utah State-130
Miami-128
BYU+102
Missouri+106
Villanova+108
VCU+118
Texas A&M+120
Clemson+122
Saint Louis+122
TCU+128
Santa Clara+130
Miami (OH)+1600
South Florida+180
UCF+190
Akron+240
NC State+255
Texas+260
High Point+340
SMU+350
Northern Iowa+430
McNeese+500
Hofstra+570
Troy+570
California Baptist+740
Hawai'i+810
North Dakota State+860
Kennesaw State+1280
Wright State+1280
Furman+1400
Idaho+2200
Pennsylvania+2400
Queen's University+2400
Tennessee State+2500
Siena+5500
Long Island University+6500
UMBC+6500
Howard+7000
Lehigh+8000
Prairie View A&M+8000
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