Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverev preview, head-to-head, prediction, odds, and betting tips | ATP Finals 2025

Match Details

Fixture: (2) Jannik Sinner vs (3) Alexander Zverev

Date: November 12, 2025

Tournament: ATP Finals

Round: Group Stage

Venue: Inalpi Arena, Turin, Italy

Category: Year-end championships

Surface: Hard (Indoor)

Prize Money: $15,500,000

Live Telecast: USA - Tennis Channel | UK - Sky Sports | Canada - TSN

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Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverev preview

Jannik Sinner at the ATP Finals 2025. (Photo: Getty)

Defending champion Jannik Sinner will take on third seed Alexander Zverev in the group stage of the ATP Finals 2025.

Sinner commenced his title defense against eighth Felix Auger-Aliassime. The two matched each other shot for shot for most of the opening set. However, when push came to shove, it was the Italian who gained the upper hand.

With Auger-Aliassime serving to force a tie-break, Sinner secured a break of serve to take the set. He sprinted towards the finish after that, conceding only one game in the second set for a 7-5, 6-1 victory.

Zverev was up against fifth seed Ben Shelton in his first match of the group stage. The German was all over his younger rival in the first set, breaking his serve twice to take a one-set lead.

With neither player conceding any ground during their service games in the second set, a tie-break came into the picture. Zverev fended off three set points in it, sweeping the last five points of the match for a 6-3, 7-6 (6) win.

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Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverev head-to-head

Sinner leads their rivalry 5-4. He won their previous meeting at the Paris Masters 2025 in straight sets.

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Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverev odds

(Odds via BetMGM)

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Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverev prediction

Alexander Zverev at the ATP Finals 2025. (Photo: Getty)

Sinner didn't face a single break point during his win over Auger-Aliassime. It also marked his fourth win over the Canadian this year. He struck 16 winners against 13 unforced errors, and won 89 percent of his first serve points.

Zverev found himself in a sticky situation towards the end but raised his level to get past Shelton. He had a good day on serve, facing zero break points and winning 84 percent of points on the back of his first serve. He also hit 18 winners compared to 10 unforced errors.

Sinner is currently on a 11-match winning streak, dating back to his triumph at the Erste Bank Open in Vienna. He has also beaten Zverev twice during this period. He handed the German a 6-0, 6-1 beatdown when they crossed paths at the Paris Masters, although the latter was nursing an injury back then.

Sinner has a 15-4 record against top 10 players, and all four of those losses have come against Carlos Alcaraz. The Italian is a different beast when competing on hardcourts, going 35-3 on the surface this year. His current form makes him the firm favorite to win this match.

Pick: Jannik Sinner to win in straight sets.

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Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverev betting tips

Tip 1: Jannik Sinner to win.

Tip 2: The match will have at least 18 games.

Edited by Rohit