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(Bloomberg) — European chemical makers are seizing a brief window created by the Iran conflict to refinance debt, even as the industry’s structural downturn shows little sign of easing, according to Lazard Inc.’s Katja Ksoll.
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The supply chain disruptions sparked by the war temporarily lifted sentiment for European producers, which are less exposed to feedstock shortages than their Asian rivals. At the same time, liquidity in credit markets has fueled investor demand for new deals, allowing cash-strapped chemical companies to extend maturities, said Ksoll, who heads Lazard’s debt advisory for Germany, Austria and Switzerland.
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“Based on the strong performance and liquid capital market, now is a good time to get deals done,” Ksoll said in an interview.
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The refinancing push comes as Europe’s chemical industry remains under severe financial pressure from years of weak demand, high energy costs and excess global capacity. Those conditions have squeezed cash flows across the sector, leaving many companies focused on preserving liquidity.
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Nouryon, CABB Group GmbH, Lanxess AG and Ineos Group are among companies that recently refinanced debt, according to Bloomberg Intelligence. For firms still struggling with subdued demand, refinancing removes “the biggest headache,” allowing them to focus on operational improvements, Ksoll said.
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The current market environment, however, may prove short-lived. As tensions between Iran and the US ease and the Strait of Hormuz is opening, investors are reassessing how long the temporary boost for European chemical producers can last.
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“The refinancing window now appears to be closing for chemical companies,” said BI credit analyst Timothy Riminton, adding that chemicals are again returning to the bottom of the cycle. “The question is sort of how long does that take?”
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For now, the supply-chain issues are still affecting industrial producers, Germany’s Ifo institute said Tuesday. Nearly 30% of chemical companies in Europe’s biggest economy are experiencing materials shortages, according to Ifo’s latest survey.
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“It will likely take some time before international supply chains return to normal,” said Ifo’s head of surveys Klaus Wohlrabe.
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