India’s Trade Gap Narrows in February Amid Middle East Crisis

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(Bloomberg) — India’s trade deficit narrowed in February even as the war in Iran threatens the outlook for global commerce.

Financial Post

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The gap between exports and imports shrank to $27.1 billion in February from $34.68 billion a month earlier, according to data from the Ministry of Commerce & Industry. That compares with a $25.9 billion deficit forecast by economists in a Bloomberg survey. 

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Exports fell 0.8% to $36.61 billion from a year earlier while imports rose 24.1% to $63.7 billion. 

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The data comes as India faces a rising import bill with crude oil staying above $100 a barrel. The country is also navigating a complex geopolitical situation to meet its energy needs without antagonizing the US, with which it agreed upon a trade deal last month. While tariff relief lifted optimism among exporters, joint US and Israeli strikes on Iran have now clouded the outlook for trade.

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India has been stepping up diplomatic engagement with Iran to ensure that liquefied petroleum gas keeps flowing through the Strait of Hormuz, which has been effectively shut since the strikes on Iran over two weeks ago. The South Asian nation is the second-largest importer of LPG in the world and is suffering acute shortages of the fuel used in cooking gas and industrial processes.

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The government is taking steps to protect India’s import-dependent economy from the impact of rising oil prices. It has set up a $6.2 billion economic stabilization fund to deal with external global shocks without impacting fiscal consolidation. 

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Apart from the fund, the government is also discussing support measures for exporters similar to those implemented during the Covid pandemic to help soften the blow of trade disruptions triggered by the Iran war, Bloomberg earlier reported. 

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