Has Russia’s Shadow Fleet Added Sabotage to Its List?

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News Analysis

Russia has assembled a fleet of hundreds of vessels to covertly ship its oil. With so many ships at sea, the idea of using some to cause havoc may be proving irresistible to the Kremlin.

A boat with the words “Coast Guard” on the side and a helicopter landing pad floats at sea under a gray sky. An oil tanker is anchored not far away.
A Finnish Coast Guard vessel watching over the oil tanker Eagle S on Friday, in an image provided by the Finnish Border Guard.Credit...EPA, via Shutterstock

Michael Schwirtz

Dec. 28, 2024, 12:01 a.m. ET

Western officials have long been concerned about Moscow’s so-called shadow fleet, an assemblage of aged tankers created to covertly carry Russian crude oil around the world. Since Russia invaded Ukraine, the worry primarily concerned the use of such off-the-books ships to circumvent Western sanctions and generate revenue to fuel the Kremlin’s war machine.

But Russia’s shadow fleet may now present a more pressing danger to the West.

This week, Finnish commandos boarded an oil tanker that officials suspect had cut through vital underwater cables in the Baltic Sea, including one that carries electricity between Finland and Estonia. The ship, the Eagle S, bears all the hallmarks of vessels belonging to Russia’s shadow fleet, officials said, and had embarked from a Russian port shortly before the cables were cut.

If confirmed, it would be the first known instance of a shadow fleet vessel being used to intentionally sabotage critical infrastructure in Europe — and, officials and experts said, a clear escalation by Russia in its conflict with the West.

“We know about Russia’s shadow fleet operating in our area, and we know Russia is systematically conducting hybrid warfare against its neighboring NATO/EU countries,” Lauri Läänemets, Estonia’s interior minister, said in an email to The New York Times. “It’s time to drop the illusions and face it.”

Image

Ilkka Koskimäki, right, Finland’s national police commissioner, and other Finnish officials discussed the cutting of undersea cables on Thursday at a news conference in Helsinki.Credit...Jussi Nukari/Agence France-Presse — Getty Images

On Friday, a number of countries in the region announced the deployment of additional naval and coast guard resources to bolster security. NATO’s general secretary, Mark Rutte, responding to requests from the leaders of Finland and Estonia, both member nations, said the Atlantic alliance would “enhance” its military presence in the Baltic Sea.


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