Gold Falls as Renewed Hormuz Disruption Stokes Inflation Concern

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A one kilogram gold bar inspected at the Perth Mint Refinery, operated by Gold Corp., in Perth, Australia, on Monday, Oct. 13, 2025. Gold's advance has been underpinned by central-bank buying, rising holdings in exchange-traded funds, and rate cuts by the US Federal Reserve.A one kilogram gold bar inspected at the Perth Mint Refinery, operated by Gold Corp., in Perth, Australia, on Monday, Oct. 13, 2025. Gold's advance has been underpinned by central-bank buying, rising holdings in exchange-traded funds, and rate cuts by the US Federal Reserve. Photo by Matt Jelonek /Bloomberg

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(Bloomberg) — Gold fell after vessels came under fire in the Strait of Hormuz at the weekend, renewing fears of energy-supply disruptions that have stoked inflation concerns during more than seven weeks of war in the Middle East.

Financial Post

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Bullion dropped to near $4,780 an ounce in early trading, wiping out much of last week’s 1.7% gain. President Donald Trump said the US Navy fired upon and seized an Iranian-flagged cargo ship, while Tehran warned that ships approaching the strait would be treated as violating a ceasefire. Several vessels were forced to abandon crossings only hours after the Islamic Republic had said the waterway was open.

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The latest incidents have jeopardized prospects for potential peace talks in Islamabad, with Trump saying he saw a chance for a deal while also renewing threats to destroy Iranian power plants and bridges. Iran said there was no “clear prospect” for an agreement.

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Oil soared on Monday, having slumped in the previous session after Iran declared Hormuz “completely open”. US equity futures slipped and a gauge of the dollar rose as much as 0.3%, pressuring gold that’s priced in the US currency. Failure to achieve a lasting diplomatic agreement to end the war has driven market volatility in recent weeks, with the latest episode again underscoring the fragility of a ceasefire that’s due to end Tuesday.

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The protracted conflict has triggered an unprecedented energy-supply shock that has intensified inflationary pressures, making central banks more likely to hold interest rates steady or even raise them – a headwind for non-yielding bullion. Gold has lost around 9% since the war began at the end of February.

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Spot gold fell 1% to $4,780.89 an ounce at 6:57 a.m. in Singapore. Silver slid 1.6% to $79.59 an ounce, with platinum and palladium also down. The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index was up 0.2%.

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