Five Key Takeaways From the US CPI Report for June

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Here are five key takeaways from the June consumer price index report, released Tuesday. Click here for our TOPLive blog:

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Bloomberg News

Bloomberg News

Christopher Anstey

Published Jul 15, 2025

1 minute read

Customers look at vehicles for sale at a GMC Chevrolet dealership in Yuma, Arizona.Customers look at vehicles for sale at a GMC Chevrolet dealership in Yuma, Arizona. Photo by Eric Thayer /Bloomberg

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(Bloomberg) — Here are five key takeaways from the June consumer price index report, released Tuesday. Click here for our TOPLive blog:

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  • Overall CPI rose 0.3%, as expected, the biggest monthly advance since January. That brought the year-on-year increase to 2.7%, marking an acceleration from 2.4% in May. Higher food and energy prices helped drive the acceleration.
  • Stripping out food and energy, the core CPI rose 0.2% on a rounded basis, undershooting the median forecast for a fifth straight month. The 12-month increase came in at 2.9%, matching expectations and marking an uptick from the 2.8% pace sustained over the previous three months.
  • Core inflation was held down by declines in both new and used vehicle prices, along with airfares and lodging costs. Housing prices were also tame relative to the years of high inflation, with shelter up 0.2% on a monthly basis. Effects of tariff increases were visible in a number of categories, with household furnishings up 1%, for the biggest rise since January 2022; video and audio products up 1.1% — the most since February last year; and toy prices climbing 1.8% on the month, the most since April 2021.
  • With new, higher tariff rates threatened to kick in starting in August, economists said the June inflation report was unlikely to push the Federal Reserve into cutting interest rates sooner rather than later. Interest-rate futures continued to show odds-on chances of the Fed resuming rate cuts in September.
  • Stock futures added to gains after the release, while two-year Treasury yields surrendered a modest rise. Two-year notes yielded about 3.90% as of 9:23 a.m. in New York, and contracts on the S&P 500 were up about 0.5%. The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index was little changed.

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