Emerging Markets Get Reprieve as Trump Hints at Early End to War

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(Bloomberg) — Emerging-market currencies and stocks rebounded Tuesday after President Donald Trump hinted at a speedy end to the Iran war, pushing oil prices lower and bringing investors back to buy beaten-down assets.

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MSCI’s benchmark emerging equity index was up 3.3% as of 9:20 a.m. in London, snapping a two-day losing streak, with South Korean technology bluechips such as Samsung Electronics Co. and SK hynix Inc. leading the rebound. Seoul’s Kospi index was among the biggest gainers globally, reversing the previous day’s 6% slide. 

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Emerging markets which sold off more heavily than their developed counterparts in recent days are getting a reprieve from the oil price slide and the dollar’s fall after Trump said the war with Iran would be resolved “very soon.” Brent futures dropped as much as 11%, though they remain about 50% higher from the start of the year.

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The recent selloff in Asian markets appeared overdone and provided good buying opportunities, according to Ray Sharma-Ong, deputy global head of multi-asset bespoke solutions at Aberdeen Investments. He said South Korea and Taiwan are still positioned to benefit from large investments into artificial intelligence.

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“The hyper-scalers in the US have committed very large amounts in terms of capex spend and that’s where the demand drivers are going to come from,” he said on Bloomberg TV. “That’s not going to go away despite the war.” 

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Stock markets also recovered somewhat in energy-importing nations such as India, South Africa, Turkey and Hungary. In the Middle East, Dubai’s main index rose as much as 3.5%, its first gain since the Iran war began.

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Emerging currencies also recovered against the dollar, with the MSCI’s gauge for the asset class rising as much as 1% for its biggest intraday gain since last May. Asian markets led the advance, with Thai baht and the Philippine peso strengthening more than 1%. 

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Local-currency bond yields fell back after large jumps in recent days, with Polish, Hungarian and South African 10-year borrowing costs sliding more than 30 basis points.

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