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Transborder traffic to the United States continued to decline in January 2026, a year into U.S. President Donald Trump‘s second term — a year of punishing tariffs on Canadian goods and continual threats of annexation.
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January marked the twelfth consecutive month of year-over-year declines in Canada-to-U.S. travel, which fell by 7.9 per cent compared to January 2025, to 1.1 million trips, according to Statistics Canada’s monthly data on screened passenger traffic at Canadian airports.
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People travelling to the U.S. accounted for 23.2 per cent of January’s total number of screened passengers, including both Canadian and non-Canadian residents, down from 26.5 per cent for the same month in 2025.
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All of Canada’s eight largest airports posted year-over-year declines in transborder traffic in January, with the four largest hubs — which account for 90 per cent of all traffic — recording decreases in screened passenger counts for flights to the U.S.
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StatCan said transborder passenger counts for January were 12.5 per cent below the pre-COVID-19 pandemic level from January 2020.
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Meanwhile, international flights to destinations outside the U.S. reached 1.6 million passengers in January 2026, up 11.9 per cent from the same month in 2025 and 18.5 per cent higher than the pre-pandemic level posted in January 2020.
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Domestic traffic was also up in January, increasing by 7.9 per cent year-over-year to 1.9 million screened passengers. This is a gain of four per cent from the number recorded in 2020.
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Overall, 4.5 million passengers passed through screening at Canada’s eight largest airports in January, up 5.1 per cent from 2025 and four per cent above the pre-pandemic level in 2020.
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Seven of the eight airports reported higher volumes of screened passenger traffic year over year, with only Winnipeg airport posting a slight drop of 0.1 per cent. Six of the eight airports surpassed their January 2020 pre-pandemic screened passenger volume.
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English (US)