Canadian Open 2025: Elena Rybakina vs Dayana Yastremska preview, head-to-head, prediction and pick | National Bank Open

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Match Details

Fixture: (9) Elena Rybakina vs (30) Dayana Yastremska

Date: August 2, 2025

Tournament: Canadian Open

Round: Fourth Round (Round of 16)

Venue: Montreal, Canada

Category: WTA 1000

Surface: Hard

Prize Money: $5,152,599

Live Telecast: USA - Tennis Channel | UK - Sky Sports | Canada - TSN


Elena Rybakina vs Dayana Yastremska preview

The fourth round of the 2025 Canadian Open will have two big ball-strikers, Elena Rybakina and Dayana Yastremska, lock horns for a spot in the quarterfinals.

Rybakina, the ninth seed at this year’s tournament, is looking to rediscover form after an underwhelming first half of the season. She has gone 33-14 in terms of win-loss this year but has only one title, a WTA 250 at Strasbourg, to show for.

Playing in Montreal, the Kazakh has posted two convincing wins over Hailey Baptiste and Jaqueline Cristian and will look to build on the early momentum.

 Getty)Yastremska recently made the Nottingham final. (Source: Getty)

Yastresmka has had a similar season, having accumulated a 28-16 win-loss. While she hasn’t won a title this year, she did reach the final at Nottingham (grass) and made the semifinal at the Hamburg Open (clay) a couple of weeks ago.

Yastresmka's form has transcended surfaces as she made a winning return to hardcourts, beating Camila Osorio in a three-set battle in her opener here in Montreal. Another big win followed as she took out top-10 player Emma Navarro in her last match.


Elena Rybakina vs Dayana Yastremska head-to-head

Rybakina leads Yastremska in their head-to-head 1-0, having beaten her opponent at the Australian Open this year. She came through, 6-3, 6-4.


Elena Rybakina vs Dayana Yastremska odds

(Odds to be updated when available)


Elena Rybakina vs Dayana Yastremska prediction

 GettyWTA 1000 National Bank Open presented by Rogers - Day 3 - Source: Getty

Elena Rybakina and Dayana Yastremska possess similarly power-packed games that are well-suited for the quick courts in Montreal. The former, however, will have an edge given her wealth of experience and superior serve.

At 276, Rybakina leads the 2025 aces leaderboard. She has been in top form in that department at Montreal as well and has yet to drop serve in her two matches.

Yastremska, meanwhile, has already been broken on nine occasions. She has also turned in double-digit double faults and will need to improve on those numbers. That said, she has made up for the disadvantage with her strong baseline game, pushing her opponents onto the back foot with her big groundstrokes.

Against Rybakina, too, the Ukrainian will need to stay aggressive. The Kazakh has been prone to losing focus in matches of late. When pushed out of her comfort zone, she tends to make errors.

Yastremska also has a history of running hot and cold during matches, but cannot afford to do that against Rybakina, especially when her opponent serves at the level that she has all week.

Expect plenty of winners and a close battle, but at the end of the day, it will come down to either player’s ability to keep their error count in check. And that’s where Rybakina’s superior experience may come into play.

Prediction: Rybakina to win in three sets.

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Vedant Chandel

Vedant is an experienced journalist at Sportskeeda, having been part of the team since 2016. Known for his insightful coverage of Tennis, Hockey, and Olympic sports at the company, he has also been contributing to the Hindustan Times for the past 3 years.

Holding a Master's degree in English, and a PG Diploma in Print Journalism, Vedant's academic background equips him well for his journalism endeavors. He has covered the Olympics qualifiers on the ground, taken exclusive interviews with multiple Indian Olympians, and clinched Sportskeeda's prestigious Writer Award for Best Olympics Commentator in 2021.

While Vedant remains neutral on the Tennis GOAT debate, he holds a deep admiration for Tsvetana Pironkova and Petra Kvitova for their unparallelled grasscourt skills and personalities, along with Juan Martin del Potro. As for tournaments, his heart is undeniably drawn to Wimbledon, and when asked why, he simply states, "There's something about the grass."

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Edited by Hitesh Nigam

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