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(Bloomberg) — The war in Iran has ended Canadian drivers’ nearly yearlong sojourn with lower gasoline prices ever since Prime Minister Mark Carney eliminated the country’s consumer carbon tax.
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The average cost at the pump has surged to C$1.55 ($1.1359) a liter from about C$1.30 in late February, according to price tracker GasBuddy.com. That is equivalent to about $4.28 a gallon in the US.
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The US and Israel’s war with Iran has disrupted the flow of as much as 20% of the world’s oil supply, driving up the price of crude and in turn gasoline. But higher prices are a mixed bag for Canada. The country is the world’s fourth largest oil producer, pumping more than 5 million barrels a day, and its largest source of export revenue comes from oil and gas.
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Carney abandoned the consumer carbon tax on April 1 of last year as the country was grappling with a trade war with the US. Cutting the tax sent prices tumbling by about 20 cents a liter within a couple weeks.
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The current cost is about 6 cents higher than when country had the tax, according to Patrick De Haan, head of petroleum analysis at GasBuddy.
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Gasoline price gains in Canada tend to outpace the US typically and the current situation is no exception with the fuel up 24.6 Canadian cents from a month ago versus the equivalent of 17.6 Canadian cents in the US, De Haan said.
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“I would think that the US is probably going to head closer to what Canada is seeing in the days and weeks ahead,” he said.
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Higher taxes are in party why pump prices in Canada are typically higher than in the US. But drivers in the highest-priced province of British Columbia are still paying less than their West Coast neighbors in California. BC consumers are paying the equivalent of about C$5.12 a gallon versus C$5.35 in the Golden State, according to De Haan.
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